The Anonymous Widower

My Past Is Worrying Me!

It must have been in the early 1970s, when I was acting as a mathematical-modelling consultant.

I was asked to do some modelling by a major drug company of the propagation of a virus through the UK population.

Their aim was to show how serious these pandemics could be and they wanted to get substantial grants from the Government to fund various lines of research.

With their data and the model I built, we were able to show how a dangerous pandemic could evolve.

But I never found out how successful they were in obtaining the money needed to start the research!

It does look like this pandemic could be the one that researchers at the company were predicting nearly fifty years ago.

March 13, 2020 - Posted by | Computing, Health | , , ,


  1. A friend of mine did a similar exercise for the likely spread of rabies in wild and feral animals in the UK following accidental release for their degree dissertation around the same time. I proof read it and made some suggestions, in particular that natural and man made barriers could alter the spread of rabies. This is of little consequence for corvid, which has turned into a human virus.

    Comment by R. Mark Clayton | March 13, 2020 | Reply

  2. I guess we have to creat our own barriers. I was just speaking to my daughter on the phone, and she was telling me she had been at the cinema this afternoon, and there were only 3 people in the cinema.

    Comment by nosnikrapzil | March 13, 2020 | Reply

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