The Anonymous Widower

Pessimistic Rail Passenger Forecasts

This article in Rail Magazine is entitled Campaigners Hit Out At “Pessimistic” Forecasts.

The campaigners are complaining about the passenger forecasts for reopening the Levenmouth rail Link from north Thornton Junction to Methil.

Rail passenger forecasts are notoriously bad. So much so, that I call it London Overground Syndrome, in honour of the local East London and North London Lines, where they started with three-car trains and are now five years later, running trains of five-cars.

Outbreaks have occurred around Leeds, on the Nottingham Express Tramway and the Borders Railway.

Any competent mathematician could come up with a valid way to adjust the forecasts.

The trouble is, this might mean the new line gets opened, which means more money from Government and more work for Network Rail.

 

June 27, 2016 - Posted by | News | ,

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