The Anonymous Widower

Queuing To Get In

This article on the BBC is entitled President Obama: ‘UK is going to be in the back of the queue‘.

I don’t queue very often, except sometimes to get in to a football match, a play or some other event.

But imagine this scenario, that has happened to us all.

A week or so ago, I was in the queue for the 38/56 bus round the corner from my house to go shopping at the Angel, when I realised I’d forgotten my long-life shopping bag.

So, I left my position in the queue and walked back to my house and picked up the bag.

When I got back to the bus stop, did I join my original place in the queue or go to the back?

So do the Brexiters think that just because of the Special Relationship, that we’ll be able to start negotiations of a new trade dea, travel arrangementsl or whatever with the US at the front of the queue?

Of course they do?

In other words, Brexiters live in the sort of land imagined by five-year-old children, where everybody and everything does exactly what they want!

I’m afraid we all live in the real world, where people make selfish decisions.

Interestingly, my Brexit Referendum Betting Odds page, showed a strong movement towards stay today.

Obama speaks and the betting world listens.

April 23, 2016 Posted by | World | , | 3 Comments

IDS Appears To Have Shortened Odds Of Staying In EU

On my Brexit Referendum Betting Odds page, since IDS jumped, the odds seemed to have moved slightly in favour of staying in.

But then despite his Road to Damascus moment, IDS in my mind, has always been someone from the dinosaurial wing of the Tory Party, who wouldn’t impress the vast number of voters in the centre.

March 21, 2016 Posted by | World | , , | Leave a comment

Brexit Referendum Betting Odds

This is a log of the Brexit Referendum Betting Odds or Oddschecker.

  • February 20th – Stay 2/5 – Leave 5/2
  • February 21st – Stay 4/11 – Leave 5/2
  • February 22nd – Stay 2/5 – Leave 15/8 – Boris comes out!
  • February 23rd – Stay 4/9 – Leave 21/10 – Business leaders letter in Times
  • February 24th – Stay 2/5 – Leave 9/4
  • February 25th – Stay 2/5 – Leave 9/4
  • February 26th – Stay 2/5 – Leave 9/4
  • February 27th – Stay 4/11 – Leave 9/4
  • February 28th – Stay 4/11 – Leave 9/4
  • February 29th – Stay 4/11 – Leave 9/4
  • March 1st – Stay 4/11 – Leave 9/4
  • March 2nd – Stay 4/11 – Leave 9/4
  • March 3rd – Stay 4/11 – Leave 9/4
  • March 4th – Stay 4/11 – Leave 5/2
  • March 5th – Stay 4/11 – Leave 5/2
  • March 6th – Stay 4/11 – Leave 5/2
  • March 7th – Stay 4/11 – Leave 5/2
  • March 8th – Stay 4/11 – Leave 5/2
  • March 9th – Stay 4/11 – Leave 5/2
  • March 10th – Stay 4/11 – Leave 5/2
  • March 11th – Stay 4/11 – Leave 12/5
  • March 12th – Stay 4/11 – Leave 12/5
  • March 13th – Stay 4/11 – Leave 12/5
  • March 14th – Stay 4/11 – Leave 12/5
  • March 15th – Stay 2/5 – Leave 9/4
  • March 16th – Stay 2/5 – Leave 9/4
  • March 17th – Stay 2/5 – Leave 2/1 – Budget on the 16th
  • March 18th – Stay 2/5 – Leave 21/10
  • March 19th – Stay 2/5 – Leave 21/10
  • March 20th – Stay 3/8 – Leave 2/1 – DLS Resigns
  • March 21st – Stay 3/8 – Leave 2/1
  • March 22nd – Stay 7/19 – Leave 2/1
  • March 23rd – Stay 4/9 – Leave 15/8 – Brussels Attacks
  • March 24th – Stay 4/9 – Leave 15/8
  • March 25th – Stay 4/9 – Leave 15/8
  • March 26th – Stay 4/9 – Leave 2/1
  • March 27th – Stay 2/5 – Leave 15/8
  • March 28th – Stay 2/5 – Leave 15/8
  • March 29th – Stay 2/5 – Leave 15/8
  • March 30th – Stay 4/9 – Leave 15/8
  • March 31st – Stay 4/9 – Leave 15/8
  • April 1st – Stay 2/5 – Leave 15/8
  • April 2nd – Stay 2/5 – Leave 2/1
  • April 3rd – Stay 2/5 – Leave 2/1
  • April 4th – Stay 2/5 – Leave 2/1
  • April 5th – Stay 4/9 – Leave 2/1
  • April 6th – Stay 4/9 – Leave 2/1
  • April 7th – Stay 4/9 – Leave 2/1
  • April 8th – Stay 4/9 – Leave 2/1
  • April 9th – Stay 4/9 – Leave 2/1
  • April 10th – Stay 4/9 – Leave 2/1
  • April 11th – Stay 4/9 – Leave 2/1
  • April 12th – Stay 4/9 – Leave 2/1
  • April 13th – Stay 4/9 – Leave 2/1
  • April 14th – Stay 4/9 – Leave 21/10 – Corbyn comes off the fence
  • April 15th – Stay 4/9 – Leave 21/10
  • April 16th – Stay 4/9 – Leave 21/10
  • April 17th – Stay 4/9 – Leave 21/10
  • April 18th – Stay 4/9 – Leave 21/10
  • April 19th – Stay 1/2 – Leave 21/10 – Gove speaks
  • April 20th – Stay 1/2 – Leave 15/8
  • April 21st – Stay 4/9 – Leave 2/1
  • April 22nd – Stay 4/9 – Leave 2/1 – Obama speaks
  • April 23rd – Stay 4/11 – Leave 12/5
  • April 24th – Stay 4/11 – Leave 5/2
  • April 25th – Stay 1/3 – Leave 13/5
  • April 26th – Stay 2/7 – Leave 3/1
  • April 27th – Stay 1/3 – Leave 5/2
  • April 28th – Stay 1/3 – Leave 5/2
  • April 29th – Stay 1/3 – Leave 5/2
  • April 30th – Stay 4/11 – Leave 5/2
  • May 1st – Stay 1/3 – Leave 5/2
  • May 2nd – Stay 4/11 – Leave 5/2
  • May 3rd – Stat 4/11 – Leave 5/2
  • May 4th – Stay 4/11 – Leave 12/5
  • May 5th – Stay 4/11 – Leave 23/10
  • May 6th – Stay 4/11 – Leave 9/4
  • May 7th – Stay 4/11 – Leave 12/5
  • May 8th – Stay 4/11 – Leave 12/5
  • May 9th – Stay 4/11 – Leave 13/5
  • May 10th – Stay 4/11 – Leave 13/5
  • May 11th – Stay 4/11 – Leave 13/5
  • May 12th – Stay 4/11 – Leave 13/5
  • May 13th – Stay 4/11 – Leave 13/5
  • May 14th – Stay 1/3 – Leave 12/5
  • May 15th – Stay 1/3 – Leave 12/5
  • May 16th – Stay 1/3 – Leave 5/2
  • May 17th – Stay 3/10 – Leave 11/4
  • May 18th – Stay 2/7 – Leave 11/4
  • May 19th – Stay 2/7 – Leave 16/5
  • May 20th – Stay 2/7 – Leave 15/4
  • May 21st – Stay 2/9 – Leave 4/1
  • May 22nd – Stay 2/9 – Leave 15/4
  • May 23rd – Stay 2/9 – Leave 7/2
  • May 24th – Stay 2/11 – Leave 4/1
  • May 25th – Stay 2/11 – Leave 4/1
  • May 26th – Stay 2/11 – Leave 9/2
  • May 27th – Stat 1/6 – Leave 17/4
  • May 28th – Stay 1/6 – Leave 4/1
  • May 29th – Stay 1/5 – Leave 4/1
  • May 30th – Stay 1/5 – Leave 4/1
  • May 31st – Stay 2/9 – Leave 4/1
  • June 1st – Stay 3/10 – Leave 16/5
  • June 2nd – Stay 3/10 – Leave 11/4
  • June 3rd – Stay 1/3 – Leave 11/4
  • June 4th – Stay 4/11 – Leave 5/2
  • June 5th – Stay 1/3 – Leave 5/2
  • June 6th – Stay 4/11 – Leave 12/5
  • June 7th – Stay 2/5 – Leave 9/4
  • June 8th – Stay 1/3 – Leave 5/2
  • June 9th – Stay 1/3 – Leave 11/4
  • June 10th – Stay 3/10 – Leave 11/4
  • June 11th – Stay 4/11 – Leave 9/4
  • June 12th – Stay 2/5 – Leave 9/4
  • June 13th – Stay 5/12 – Leave 2/1
  • June 14th – Stay 4/7 – Leave 7/4
  • June 15th – Stay 8/13 – Leave 7/5
  • June 16th – Stay 6/11 – Leave 13/8
  • June 17th – Stay 1/2 – Leave 13/8
  • June 18th – Stay 8/15 – Leave 7/4 – The assassination of Jo Cox
  • June 19th – Stay 4/9 – Leave 9/4
  • June 20th – Stay 4/11 – Leave 12/5
  • June 21st – Stay 1/4 – Leave 3/1
  • June 22nd – Stay 2/7 – Leave 3/1
  • June 23rd – Stay 3/10 – Leave 10/3

I shall let the figures do the talking.

February 21, 2016 Posted by | World | , | 3 Comments

Will We Vote For Cameron’s Deal On Europe?

I don’t know the answer and there are probably only a couple of people who can predict the result with any certainty.

I’ve just looked at the reliable Odds Checker web site for their Brexit Referendum Betting Odds and as I write this post, it is 5/2 On to stay in and 5/2 that we’ll leave.

If I vote and I probably will, as the first time I voted was for the EU Referendum of 1975, it will probably be to stay in, as I am a committed European in habit and probably culture.

I also think that we should be in a reformed Schengen Area and that we need a more flexible payment system.

Schengen is an ideal, but in the modern world of terrorism, international crime and immigration pressures, it falls down a deep hole.

What could replace it, I know not, but surely we can find something, that is better than what we have now.

Flexible payments will happen, as cash is replaced by contactless payments on cards and mobile phones.

How long will it be until I look at my credit card statement and see real -time transactions in pounds despite spending them all over the world in euros, dollars and Ruritanian groats?

We will be moving inexorably towards a World electronic currency, that appears to everybody as the one they want to use.

Let’s face it, it’s only software.

The currency merging will be led by the Anglo-Saxon English-speaking triumvirate; the US/Canada, the UK and Hong Kong/Singapore.

The Eurozone will be unable to keep the Euro out of this juggernaut.

Europe’s biggest problem is migration and despite what you read in the Mail and the Express, because of our island status, we are isolated from the worst excesses of uncontrolled migration into the European Union.

I think it will have further effects after it destroys Schengen in its present form.

There are elections in a lot of European states soon!

Will we see fruit-cake parties campaigning against more migration and for a renegotiating of their relationship with the European Union, as David Cameron has just done?

You bet we will!

David Cameron has truly opened Pandora’s Box!

 

February 20, 2016 Posted by | World | , , , | Leave a comment