The Anonymous Widower

What Percentage Of Over 65s In England Have Tested Positive For COVID-19?

On the official government web site, they now give a breakdown of lab-confirmed cases in England by age and sex.

This is their graph.

Note.

  1. From 0-60, there ae more female cases.
  2. From 60-85, there are more male cases.
  3. Over 85, there are more female cases.

I do find this unusual. Could it be that more healthcare, teachers, nursery and care home workers are women under sixty.

I’ll now look at the individual figures.

Male

  • 0-4 – 356
  • 5-9 – 157
  • 10-14 – 167
  • 15-19 – 310
  • 20-24 – 938
  • 25-29 – 2256
  • 30-34 – 2549
  • 35-39 – 2493
  • 40-44 – 2986
  • 45-49 – 3782
  • 50-54 – 4457
  • 55-59 – 4725
  • 60-64 – 4473
  • 65-69 – 4121
  • 70-74 – 5064
  • 75-79 – 5816
  • 80-84 – 6598
  • 85-89 – 5703
  • 90+ – 3929

Under-65 – 29649

Over-65 – 31231

Over-75 – 22046

Female

  • 0-4 – 274
  • 5-9 – 129
  • 10-14 – 178
  • 15-19 – 501
  • 20-24 – 2303
  • 25-29 – 4756
  • 30-34 – 4546
  • 35-39 – 3842
  • 40-44 – 4160
  • 45-49 – 5038
  • 50-54 – 5538
  • 55-59 – 5018
  • 60-64 – 3729
  • 65-69 – 2684
  • 70-74 – 3359
  • 75-79 – 4266
  • 80-84 – 5792
  • 85-89 – 6387
  • 90+ – 6622

Under-65 – 40012

Over-65 – 29110

Over-75 – 23067

Total Under-65 – 69661

Total Over-65  – 60341

Total Over-75 – 45113

 

Note.

  1. In an earlier analysis,  I thought these were UK figures, so discount those.
  2. There are no figures for other parts of the UK.

I can now calculate the percentage of Over-65s, who have had lab-confirmed cases in England.

  • According to Age UK, there are 11,989,322 who are over 65 in the UK.
  • As England is 84.3 % of the UK population according to Wikipedia, that means there are 10,106,998, who are over 65 in England.

Using the total number of over 65 cases in England, this gives a figure of 0.6%.

I can now calculate the percentage of Over-75s, who have had lab-confirmed cases in England.

According to Age UK, there are 5,400,000, who are over 75 in the UK.

As England is 84.3 % of the UK population according to Wikipedia, that means there are 4,552,200, who are over 75 in England.

Using the total number of over 75 cases in England, this gives a figure of 0.99%.

I can now calculate the percentage of Under-65s, who have had lab-confirmed cases in England.

  • Using the previous figures, there are 45,870,180, who are under 65 in England.

Using the total number of under-65 cases in England, this gives a figure of 0.15%.

 

 

May 7, 2020 - Posted by | Health | ,

3 Comments »

  1. This is interesting because I am aware of some statistics which say that men are less likely to visit doctors regardless of symptoms. If they get cover mildly they will probably ignore it – sadly may not self isolate either.

    These figures represent people who have been tested; I know quite a lot of people who believe they have had the virus, but didnt get a test to see if they actually had it. One friend is a key worker, she was unwell, and having a chest infection she was told to remain at home for 14 days; near the end of that, she had a phone call from work, and told them that her son now had a cough, temperature etc, and she was told that since they weren’t certain she had had the virus, or indeed whether her son currently had it, she must work from home for a further week. This was before key workers could get tested, and so could their families. There are many people in that situation, some key workers, and some not.

    There are a great many unknowns in all the figures. I am somewhat concerned that if Boris eases the lockdown there will be another spike – in fact I don’t expect people will stick to the lockdown this weekend. I live on a fairly main road; the many many cars I can see and hear cannot all being going to the local supermarket, I imagine some are going to the motorway – less than a mile away – to head out to Blackpool or Lake District etc.

    Neil and I will be staying at home – there is quite a lot of VE day stuff on TV which Neil will enjoy. I will meanwhile prepare for a meeting I am hosting tomorrow, and I will then finish making the comfort bags I have made for patients who arrive at hospital with nothing. Apparently this is fairly common. I have sewn the bags, and I have bought the items that apparently are rarely donated to fill the bags; although I mustn’t fill them, I must take the stuff along with the bags to a ladies house, who will pass them on to a group of elderly ladies who fill them with the things.

    Comment by nosnikrapzil | May 8, 2020 | Reply

  2. Totally useless statistics as they don’t say how many were tested in each age group. It could be that 100% of 20 to 24 year olds had it but only 1% of 70 to 74 year olds.

    Comment by John | May 8, 2020 | Reply

  3. Useful though it is more informative would be know where are the sources of infection coming from to minimise potential infection hotspots going forward.

    Comment by Nicholas Lewis | May 8, 2020 | Reply


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