The Anonymous Widower

What Percentage Of Over 65s In England Have Tested Positive For COVID-19?

On the official government web site, they now give a breakdown of lab-confirmed cases in England by age and sex.

This is their graph.

Note.

  1. From 0-60, there ae more female cases.
  2. From 60-85, there are more male cases.
  3. Over 85, there are more female cases.

I do find this unusual. Could it be that more healthcare, teachers, nursery and care home workers are women under sixty.

I’ll now look at the individual figures.

Male

  • 0-4 – 356
  • 5-9 – 157
  • 10-14 – 167
  • 15-19 – 310
  • 20-24 – 938
  • 25-29 – 2256
  • 30-34 – 2549
  • 35-39 – 2493
  • 40-44 – 2986
  • 45-49 – 3782
  • 50-54 – 4457
  • 55-59 – 4725
  • 60-64 – 4473
  • 65-69 – 4121
  • 70-74 – 5064
  • 75-79 – 5816
  • 80-84 – 6598
  • 85-89 – 5703
  • 90+ – 3929

Under-65 – 29649

Over-65 – 31231

Over-75 – 22046

Female

  • 0-4 – 274
  • 5-9 – 129
  • 10-14 – 178
  • 15-19 – 501
  • 20-24 – 2303
  • 25-29 – 4756
  • 30-34 – 4546
  • 35-39 – 3842
  • 40-44 – 4160
  • 45-49 – 5038
  • 50-54 – 5538
  • 55-59 – 5018
  • 60-64 – 3729
  • 65-69 – 2684
  • 70-74 – 3359
  • 75-79 – 4266
  • 80-84 – 5792
  • 85-89 – 6387
  • 90+ – 6622

Under-65 – 40012

Over-65 – 29110

Over-75 – 23067

Total Under-65 – 69661

Total Over-65  – 60341

Total Over-75 – 45113

 

Note.

  1. In an earlier analysis,  I thought these were UK figures, so discount those.
  2. There are no figures for other parts of the UK.

I can now calculate the percentage of Over-65s, who have had lab-confirmed cases in England.

  • According to Age UK, there are 11,989,322 who are over 65 in the UK.
  • As England is 84.3 % of the UK population according to Wikipedia, that means there are 10,106,998, who are over 65 in England.

Using the total number of over 65 cases in England, this gives a figure of 0.6%.

I can now calculate the percentage of Over-75s, who have had lab-confirmed cases in England.

According to Age UK, there are 5,400,000, who are over 75 in the UK.

As England is 84.3 % of the UK population according to Wikipedia, that means there are 4,552,200, who are over 75 in England.

Using the total number of over 75 cases in England, this gives a figure of 0.99%.

I can now calculate the percentage of Under-65s, who have had lab-confirmed cases in England.

  • Using the previous figures, there are 45,870,180, who are under 65 in England.

Using the total number of under-65 cases in England, this gives a figure of 0.15%.

 

 

May 7, 2020 Posted by | Health | , | 3 Comments

Plans For Brandon Rail Station Upgrade Deemed Lawful By Local Council

The title of this post, is the same as that of this article on Rail Advent.

This is the introductory paragraph.

Train operator Greater Anglia has been allowed to press ahead with plans to complete £1m of improvements at Brandon railway station.

Work at Brandon station will include.

  • Demolishing of redundant buildings, that are not in the best of condition.
  • Install new shelters, LED lights, CCTV cameras and better drainage.
  • Increase car parking spaces from six to a hundred.
  • It looks like accessible car parking will be provided.
  • Provide a new bat roost.

The overall cost will be a million pounds.

This Google Map shows the station.

Note.

  1. Cambridge and Ely is to the West and Norwich is to the East.
  2. The queues at the level crossing at the Western end of the station.
  3. I seem to remember, that it’s a Council Depot on the North side of the tracks.

At some time in the future the station will need a step-free footbridge.

Greater Anglia’s Norwich And Stansted Service

This is the main passenger service at Brandon station.

  • Trains are four-car Class 755 trains.
  • The service is hourly.
  • Trains take about thirty minutes between Brandon and Cambridge stations.
  • Trains take about an hour between Brandon and Stansted Airport stations.
  • Trains take forty-five minutes between Brandon and Norwich stations.

Will there be enough car parking spaces?

Could Brandon Station Ever Have A Half-Hourly Service?

If there’s one city that will dominate the economy of East Anglia, it is Cambridge and its need for premises and housing for workers, will mean that there will be increasing numbers of passengers using the trains into Cambridge.

So I wouldn’t be surprised to see a half-hourly service between Norwich and Cambridge.

Could We See More Brandon Stations?

As I travel round the country, I’ve visited several stations like Brandon. Many could be improved by a radical restructuring or a comprehensive refurbishing.

May 7, 2020 Posted by | Transport | , , , , | Leave a comment

Coronavirus Pandemic Could Cause Deepest Recession On Record, Bank Warns

The title of this post, is the same as that of this article on The Times.

If that is the bad news, what do I make of the sub-title of the article?

Economy projected to bounce back with 15 per cent growth in 2021

That would certainly be a lot better.

But is it feasible?

Readers of this blog, will know, that I regularly flag up ideas, that could help us all, create a greener planet.

Only yesterday, I wrote two articles about Equipmake; a company based in Norfolk, that aims to improve electric transport.

I can see a lot of these green ideas coming to fruition in the second half of this year, fuelled by copious thinking during the lockdown, furlough and the teaching of children. I believe the average guys and girls in the UK and the wider world will have been thinking hard about their future and that of the only planet we’ve got to live on.

This leads me to a green bounce, driven by renewable energy, energy storage, zero-carbon transport, fast internet, energy-efficient housing and other proven concepts.

I suspect though, it could be implemented in some new ways, which only now are being developed.

For every Equipmake, Highview Power, ITM Power and Riding Sunbeams how many other ideas are in development waiting to emerge?

There is also the question of finance.

  • I think, that there are a lot of people, who because they have a reserved occupation or a good pension, when we come fully out of lockdown, will have sensible money to spend.
  • Spending large amounts is difficult at present.
  • Some may have the money in the bank which was reserved for this year’s holiday of a lifetime.

Prudence, would say they might spend it on low-risk purchases and not on expensive exotic holidays, where they might get trapped in a second spike of COVID-19.

Could we see a lot more sales of zero-carbon cars, solar panels, house batteries and air source heat pumps?

Installing these would need a lot of qualified builders, electricians and fitters.

May 7, 2020 Posted by | Health, World | , , | 1 Comment

Go Ahead For West Midlands Interchange Development

The title of this post, is the same as that of this article on Rail Technology Magazine.

This is the introductory paragraph.

Expansion for a new Strategic Rail Freight Interchange and other supporting infrastructure works near Junction 12 of the M6 motorway in South Staffordshire District has been given development consent.

This Google Map shows the location of the West Midlands Interchange.

Note.

  1. Junction 12 of the M6, where it connects with the A5 is in the North-East corner of the map.
  2. The village of Four Ashes is in the South-West corner of the map.
  3. The Birmingham Loop of the West Coast Main Line runs North-South between Four Ashes and Gailey.
  4. The railway is double-track and electrified.
  5. There are typically about four passenger trains per hour (tph) in both directions along the railway.

The developers of the West Midlands interchange have ambitious plans according to this extract of their home page.

West Midlands Interchange is a proposed Strategic Rail Freight Interchange (SRFI) with warehousing and other associated development that would be built on land west of Junction 12 of the M6 in South Staffordshire.

West Midlands Interchange will be linked directly to the West Coast Main Line, one of the country’s principal rail freight routes, and will be well placed to serve the West Midlands, the Black Country, Staffordshire, Birmingham, the northern M6 corridor and parts of Warwickshire.

When built, it will provide up to 743,200 square metres (sq m) of new rail-served and rail-linked warehousing allowing the region’s important logistics industry to grow. The scheme will create 8,550 direct jobs boosting opportunities for people in South Staffordshire, the Black Country, the West Midlands and other surrounding areas.

As the railway is electrified, they also have the chance to use electric haulage for freight trains serving the interchange.

May 7, 2020 Posted by | Transport | , | Leave a comment

Equipmake And HiETA Developing New Motor With 20kW/kg Power Density With Additive Manufacturing

The title of this post is the same as that of this article on Green Car Congress.

This is the introductory paragraph.

UK-based electrification company, Equipmake, has teamed up with additive manufacturing organization HiETA to develop a next-generation motor as part of a project grant-funded by Innovate UK.

Additive manufacturing is 3D-printing by another name. This has come to the fore in the COVID-19,  where schools, colleges and individuals have been using it to produce PPE.

Equipmake and HiETA are printing exotic alloys in intricate shapes to create the powerful motor.

Additive manufacturing is starting an amazing revolution. How many other common products can be redesigned to be more efficient and manufactured at lower cost.

 

May 7, 2020 Posted by | Transport | , , , , | Leave a comment