Almost One Million Smokers Are Too Ill To Work
The title of this post, is the same as that of this article on The Times.
This is the sub-heading.
Smokers are three times more likely than non-smokers to be out of work owing to poor health, and numbers are rising fast
These three paragraphs give more details.
Nearly a million people who smoke in England are out of work due to illness, research has found, with the figure rising by nearly 80 per cent in the past decade.
As a proportion, almost three times as many working-age smokers compared with non-smokers were out of work due to ill health, with 11.3 per cent of smokers and 3.3 per cent of non-smokers not working for health reasons.
As of March, more than a fifth of UK working-age adults were not in work, with 8.7 million having a condition that limited their ability to sustain employment.
As the research comes from University College London, I think we can be sure, it has been properly peer-reviewed.
Nigel Farage
You rarely see NF without a cigarette in his hand.
That would not be the sort of image, I would want in my representative or heaven help me, my Prime Minister.
NF is the Member of Parliament for Clacton.
This paragraph is from the Wikipedia entry for Clacton-on-Sea.
As common with many English seaside towns, unemployment has remained stubbornly high in Clacton.[14] In 2023, Clacton won a £20 million government levelling-up grant to improve the town centre.
I asked Google AI what is the percentage of smokers in Clacton-on-Sea and received this answer.
The smoking prevalence in Clacton-on-Sea (within the Tendring district) rose to 20% in 2023, bucking the UK-wide trend of declining smoking rates and representing a significant increase from 14% the previous year. This figure is considerably higher than the national average, which was 11.9% in the same year, but similar to rates observed in other areas.
Now there’s a thing!
Similar data for the other Reform UK MPs are as follows.
Lee Anderson – Ashfield – Ex-Smoker
Specific smoking percentage data for the Ashfield area isn’t readily available in the search results, but Nottinghamshire’s smoking rate was 15.4% in 2020, which is above the England average, with rates varying significantly by district. For instance, in 2020, the rate in Mansfield was higher at 23.1%, while Rushcliffe had a lower rate of 3.6%.
Richard Tice – Boston & Skegness – Non-Smoker
While a precise percentage for Skegness isn’t available, the local area has a higher-than-average smoking prevalence, with some reports indicating Lincoln and Boston (both in the same county) have some of the highest rates in the East Midlands, and the Lincolnshire Integrated Care Board noted a 16% prevalence for Lincolnshire in March 2024, an increase from previous years.
Sarah Pochin – Runcorn & Helsby – Unknown
There is no exact percentage for smokers specifically in Runcorn, but for the wider region, an overall adult smoking rate of 11.34% was recorded by Cheshire West and Chester Council in 2021. Higher rates were seen in adults aged 18-64, where the prevalence was 22.9% in the same area.
Rupert Lowe – Great Yarmouth – Appears to be against more smoking bans
The smoking prevalence in Great Yarmouth was 17.6% in 2022, which is the highest in Norfolk and significantly above the national average of approximately 13% for adults in England. This data comes from a Norfolk Insight report using Office for Health Improvement and Disparities (OHID) data from the Annual Population Survey
James McMurdock – South Basildon & East Thurrock – Unknown
There is no specific data available for “South Basildon” regarding the percentage of smokers; however, national data for the UK from 2023 shows that the overall proportion of current smokers was 11.9%. More granular data from a 2022 Office for National Statistics (ONS) report indicates that smoking prevalence can vary significantly by location, with local rates like Basildon (13.3%) and other areas of England showing different figures than the national average.
The pattern is very mixed
I also asked Google AI, if Reform UK has a policy on smoking and received this answer,
Reform UK does not have a published, comprehensive policy on smoking on its website, and has not taken a stance on the Tobacco and Vapes Bill, which includes a phased smoking ban. However, public polling by The Health Foundation in late 2024 indicated support for public health measures to prevent ill health from tobacco, alcohol, and unhealthy food, though specific results for Reform UK voters were not broken out in that instance.
It would appear that they are firmly sitting on the fence.
Could Improved Public Transport Cut Crime?
London is going through a murder epidemic at the moment, mainly with knives and a couple of guns.
I’m not worried about it, as why would anybody bother a seventy-year-old man, who doesn’t have the best dress sense?
But I wasn’t always old and I can remember the 1950s and 1960s, where things weren’t as idyllic, as those who voted Brexit like to think.
A friend of mine was a policeman in the East End in those days and he has some interesting tales.
Return To Dalston
I moved to Dalston in 2010, after the deaths of my wife and our thirty-seven year-old son from cancer, and a serious stroke, which left me with damaged eyesight and unable to drive.
You might ask, why I moved from deepest Suffolk to a slightly run-down area of London? Free public transport was a big draw!
A hundred and thirty years ago, all my grandparents and lots of relatives lived in this area.
My paternal grandmother would shop in the Marks and Spencer and the Woollies at the Angel, as I still do, although the Woollies is now a Waitrose.
This part-Jewish, part-Huguenot, part-Devonian, very stubborn London mongrel has come home!
An Observation
When I moved here, if I walked down Kingsland High Street, at times, the pavements were crowded with youths with nothing better to do. I wasn’t actually threatened, but I would avoid the area.
Now, the street is probably more crowded, but everybody is going about their business or pleasure in a calm manner.
I can only speculate about why the atmosphere has changed, but there has been two major developments.
- The Overground has arrived to replace the travelling urinals of the North London Line and provide new services to the City and South London.
- Most of the bus routes now have new buses.
Local people even got excited, that Hackney and Dalston got the first of the New Routemasters on route 38.
Have those young people from Dalston, now found better things by using public transport, such as work or a pleasureable leisure activity?
Research needs to be done, but there’s nothing on the Internet.
The Rise Of Dalston
I truly believe that the rise of Dalston has been created by the better public transport.
Who would have wanted to live in the new flats or the old Victorian houses, if you couldn’t get to work?
We’re now in an upward spiral, as property is improved, businesses are created and restaurants and cafes open.
The Next Experiment
Several major rail projects are underway in North and North East London.
- The Gospel Oak to Barking Line is being electrified.
- White Hart Lane station is going to be rebuilt, to serve Tottenham Hotspur’s stadium development.
- Capacity is being increased on the West Anglia Main Line, by the STAR project.
- New or rebuilt stations are planned for Tottenham Hale, Northumberland Park and Meridian Water, in conjunction with STAR.
- London Overground and Greater Anglia have ordered new Class 710 and Class 720 trains to replace the current elderly rolling stock.
It will be very informative, to see whether crime is lower or higher in a couple of years.
Conclusion
Improving public transport is one of these measures, that benefits a wide range of people; the elderly, the disabled, the unemployed and families with children.
It may also encourage those, who might drift into gangs and crime, to do something more worthwhile.
Lots of other places in the UK are getting or need the same treatment as Dalston has received.
- The West London Orbital Railway could invigorate North West London.
- Kirkby to Skelmersdale, would connect the latter town to Liverpool.
- Newcastle is planning to reopen the railways to Ashington and Blyth.
- Birmingham is expanding passenger railways on reopened and freight lines.
The future could be fascinating.
The Spanish Fall In Love With Britain
The Times has an article, where it describes how the Spanish are falling in love with Britain, its culture and the English lanuguage. This is the introduction to the article.
A passion for cupcakes, Jamie Oliver and all things red, white and blue is sweeping Spain — Britannia, it seems, is suddenly very cool.
From Madrid to Barcelona, Málaga to Bilbao, the Union Jack is visible everywhere as Spaniards seek to soak up the spirit of the London Olympics.
They are buying T-shirts, cushions, plates, towels, pencil cases — anything that bears the British flag. They are also flocking to learn the language in increasing numbers.
So amongst all the gloom of the economy yesterday, perhaps we are doing something right!
The Times puts it all down to the Olympics.
I must say though, that you come across a large number of Spanish people in London these days. but then we have the jobs and because of Spain’s unemployment, they have the people to fill them.
Friday The Thirteenth
I’ve left two jobs on Friday the thirteenth. Both new jobs were hugely successful. As I’m retired now, I can’t do that today, but I did finally get rid of my old house yesterday and as the solicitors are dealing with it today, I assume it’s good luck.
Child Care, Gardening, Carers and Unemployment
About twenty years ago I met a policy strategist at the Department of Employment. He wasn’t your typical civil servant, as he had been recruited at about forty into government service, after a successful career in academia and industry.
In those days we were just as worried about many things that we still are today.
One proposal he had was that if you employ someone on a fully legal basis, where all tax and National Insurance is paid, then you can set all or a proportion of those costs against your tax.
He gave some examples, where it might apply.
- Many people employ a nanny or mother’s help, to help in the home with their children. At present, he said, it’s often cash in hand and a room or perhaps the help is employed in the family’s small business as a secretary, so that the costs are tax deductible.
- You also have the case of people, who employ a gardener to do the heavy work as they get old. Usually, it’s cash-in-hand, for a few hours, but perhaps, they’d really like to employ someone full time and even share the person with the neighbours or other people locally.
So we have system, where these sort of people are employed in one or two ways.
- Cash-in-hand, which often gives the worker all sorts of problems and will mean they have a reduced pension when they retire.
- The fake job, where they are employed and set against tax in a business controlled by the employer.
Both methods mean that less tax is collected and fewer jobs are created. It also means that an au-pair from some strange place is much cheaper than a real job employing a local person.
The civil servant believed that if you could set employment costs for an employee, against personal tax, it would have substantial benefits. Obviously, the job would have to be real and tax, National Insurance and minimum wage regulations were all observed.
If we take the mother’s help/gardener/carer case, it probably would create a lot of jobs, especially if sharing was allowed. The tax system might become a little bit more complicated, but an awful lot of people earning a good salary, might decide to employ someone full-time rather than rely on trying to fit caring for an ageing parent around a full-time job.
A lot of these jobs might be for people, who are in groups, that find getting worthwhile jobs difficult. We have a lot of young people who don’t have jobs. Surely, there are people who might like to employ them personally. As an example, since I have moved here, I might have benefitted by having someone help me with sorting out this house. There would have to be a foolproof payment system to ensure tax was paid, but surely this could be put on-line.
In some ways, one of the biggest advantages would be in the creation of new businesses. Often people try to start their new business by doing both jobs at the same time. The outcome is often poor and the business fails, and often the personal relationships with it.
You could of course, setup a proper company, with employees from day one, but how many start-ups can sustain all of that expense.
Suppose you have a reasonably well-paid job and have this idea for a better widget or a new way of doing something. Often you need to research the business well before starting. So say perhaps for a year, you employed a bright graduate and asked them to check your feelings, do some design or programming or whatever. After that year, it might mean that the business was non-viable, and you would have to let the employee go. But at least they’d had a hopefully interesting job for a year and you’d got the tax relief. Or at least part of it.
Imagine too, you are a self-employed decorator, accountant, software programmer or whatever. If the system was made simple, you would think about getting help in busy periods or when you need it much earlier and more often.
You can go through lots of scenarios and do the sums.
The measures may well be fairly neutral to the tax system, but of course unemployment benefit would drop. I suspect, it would also help a lot of people to have better lives and pensions.
The real loser would be the black economy.
One of the reasons the system was never even considered was that the Treasury’s model of the economy doesn’t include the black one. Incidentally, at the time at least one of the major banks model did. They got the economy right and the Treasury didn’t.
With all the arguments about the temporary fifty per cent tax rate, child care costs, caring provision for the elderly and unemployment, it appears to me that the current personal financial system has failed.
Perhaps we should think the unthinkable.
The Story of George
In the 1960s, I use to serve behind the bar in a pub called The Merryhills in Oakwood. It was one of the vacation jobs I did to fund my way through University.
Although it was a leafy suburb and still is, the pub was only half-genteel. The Saloon Bar was comfortable and had a nice class of client. But the Public Bar was a different story and there was sometimes an edginess. I remember one night, sorting out a fight, by breaking a bottle of Guinness on the bar and jumping over the counter. They didn’t want to take me on, but then we all knew that Mick the large Irish barman was coming round by the easy route with the landlord’s Alsatian.
But it is the story of George I remember.
On a quiet Monday, I found myself talking for most of the evening to a guy called George, who had been in my year at primary school. I said to him, that at school, I thought he might have been a bit rough and that now he seemed to have calmed down. He said that he had. But it hadn’t always been so and a couple of years before he’d been up in court on a charge of vandalism. The magistrate had said that he deserved Borstall, but also said that he had a mate who owned a demolition firm, who was in need of men, who liked to smash things up. If he’d take the job, the magistrate said he’d forget the Borstal.
George had worked in demolition for some months and hadn’t been in trouble since.
Perhaps there is a moral here, in that we’ve now made employment so safe, it just doesn’t appeal to a certain class of youth!
I suspect too, that magistrates can’t recruit workers for their friends!
Is The Cause of High Unemployment Our Housing and Transport Policies?
There was a program on BBC Radio 5 this morning about unemployment. It was the usual left versus right battle, which has been fought so many times to a non-conclusion, that the program got boring, so I went shopping at Upper Street.
I have lived in several houses and flats in my life and in some ways, where I am now suits me best. Visitors like it too and they feel it is absolutely right for me.
So what is this house like. It’s a three bed-roomed house with two en-suite bathrooms and one that isn’t. It’s modern and it’s built upside down, with two bedrooms, a bathroom and the garage on the ground floor and a seven-metre square living area, kitchen and a bedroom on the first floor. It has a lot of chocolate-coloured steel and big glass windows. Unfortunately, it was built by Jerry. It doesn’t have a garden, but it does have two patios front and back.
In some ways the nearest to it in feel, was our flat in Cromwell Tower, in the Barbican, where we raised our three sons for the first few years of their lives. There we had three bedrooms, a large living room, kitchen, an underground car park and superb views across to St. Paul’s.
My house is however not the sort of house that most people aspire to or in fact that many can afford.
So many prefer one of Pete Seeger ‘s Little Boxes on a new estate somewhere in the countryside with space for two cars. After all, these sort of estates don’t get inhabitated by the riff-raff do they? They are also as eco-friendly as Obama’s Beast.
I have now come to the conclusion that I don’t like to live in the countryside. It is all so sterile, unfriendly and full of lots of little cliques. After the loss of C and my son, not one person in the village came to see me. After all I was a loser wasn’t I, especially as I had a stroke? There’s a great belief too, that widows might decide to walk off with your partner! It was a real relief to escape on a train to somewhere, where something actually happened. But there was no public transport, so simple things like getting any food meant a taxi or scounging a lift.
I also should say I hated living in Cockfosters as a child. There the problem was that there were no children of my own age and most of my school friends lived some distance away. Only when I was old enough to work in my father’s print works and ride my bike all over the area did I feel liberated.
How I live now, is surprisingly similar to how C and I used to live with the boys in the Barbican and St. John’s Wood before that. Except of course that I am now alone and do the things like food shopping, that C used to do. But then when I wander round Chapel Market, it’s like going back to the early seventies and she’s still guiding me.
It’s a friendly and a mixed area, with some good shops, four pubs that know their gluten-free within walking distance, several gardens and superb public transport links. The people are friendly too and I’m starting to add to my circle of friends. In this sort of mixed area, you also develop passing acquaintances with people, who you say hello to as you pass. In the countryside, it’s a bit difficult to talk to someone about their basset hound as I did today, when the dog is in the back of a 4×4 passing at speed.
So the sort of mixed area where I live is not to most people’s taste, but in my view, if we want to decrease unemployment and create worthwhile jobs, then this sort of area can do it’s bit. Another mixed area, I know well is the centre of Cambridge and it could be argued that that mixing helps with the development of ideas.
How many good ideas have been hatched in pubs or coffee shops? Sterile country villages might have an award winning gastro-pub, but the only ideas that come out of places like that, are things like better ways to cook asparagus.
One of the complaints in all the villages I’ve lived was the lack of any staff locally. This was mainly because, those same people didn’t want any affordable housing built, that might spoil their view and lower the tone of the place. I have a lovely lady, who sorts my house out, once a week and she was fairly easy to find. Incidentally she comes on a bus from the other side of Dalston JUnction station. so just at a selfish level, good public transport helps people to get to their jobs. In those much admired villages, there is no public transport, so everybody has to drive, so those that can’t afford their own car, often can’t get a decent job. But then a lot of those that live in villages don’t want more public transport, because of all the noise and inconvenience of passing a bus in a large 4×4. But they have their own cars anyway!
To illustrate what I say further, I will take the Suffolk town of Haverhill, which has large numbers of little boxes, which asre being added too at a fast rate. There are jobs in the town, but many require a car to get to, as the town isn’t the most cycle-friendly and the public transport is limited. Haverhill is also a sensible commute to Cambridge, where there are far better-paid and more worthwhile jobs, but the only way to do it, is to use a bus or car. There used to be a railway, but that was axed in the Beeching cuts. Axing it actually wasn’t the problem, but building over the right-of-way was, as that railway, which is needed to provide a link etween Sudbury and Cambridge, could have been reinstated. In Scotland, they have been reinstating railways like Airdrie to Bathgate with some degree of success.
If I was in charge of eployment policy in this country, I would reinstate railways like Sudbury to Cambridge, as they not only create employment, but allow people to get better jobs. Recently, the line from Ipswich to Cambridge has been updated with better and bigger trains and the investment has led to a large increase in passenger numbers.
Where I live, we also have the example of the recently-rebuilt North and East London Lines of the London Overground, which are now used and liked by everybody. In fact, so much so, that frequencies are being increased.
I have also read and heard stories how the new lines have decreased unemployment, just by enabling people to move more easily from where they live to where the jobs are.
I think too, we concentrate on unemployment and rightly so, but in many cases better transport links will enable people to move up the employment ladder. This is just as important, as not only does it create a need to replace the person who’s left, but if people earn more, they tend to spend more and that helps to create jobs.
Israel’s Crazy Clocks
I am a great believer in that you put the clocks forward in the summer to gain the greatest economic advantage to as many people as possible.
For instance, in the UK, I’d like to see us go to the same time as most of the EU. Not only would it make it easier for business and travel with the continent, but it would also give us longer leisure evenings for a greater period of the year, so perhaps outdoor activities would benefit. Horse racing would be able to stage many more evening meetings, which properly handled might create a lot of new jobs. But there are lots of other examples.
So what are the Israelis doing. They’re moving the date the clocks go back forward to fit in with religious groups, who have a strong hold in the Knesset. According to The Independent, it’s not very popular. Even the Jewish Chronicle reports that Israelis are angry.
In the report in the Jewish Chronicle this is said.
A campaign against the early end to summertime is being spearheaded by Dr Shimon Eckhouse, chairman of Nasdaq-traded medical device company Syneron. He also wants to adopt the EU norm and has collected over 90,000 signatories on a petition.
Starting winter time before the end of October “will shorten quality time that parents have with their children, increase the chance of road accidents and cost the Israeli economy millions of shekels”, he said.
There are estimates that the 48 days between September 12, when Israel changes its clocks, and October 31, when the UK and the rest of Europe change their clocks, will cost Israel £4.6 million in higher electricity consumption.
“The only reason to end summertime early is because it supposedly shortens the fast on Yom Kippur,” Dr Eckhouse added. “This is warped because either way the fast continues for 25 hours. I am a Jew who observes tradition and fasts on Yom Kippur.”
Let’s hope Dr. Eckhouse’s reasoned approach succeeds. If nothing because it is better for global warming.
Plants Have More Rights Than People
In my post on the Isle of Wight, Yarmouth etc., I mentioned the notoriously bad road into Great Yarmouth called the Acle Straight. Remember that Yarmouth is an important port, where the oil and gas and offshore wind farm industries are concerned, so if you were say the boss of an important player in the industry, getting stuck in traffic before going to see the town as a possible supply base , would show how important, the Government think creating jobs in the town is and illustrates the level of support you’ll get.
So I looked up Acle Straight on the Highways Agency web site, to see the progress being made to upgrade this choked and extremely dangerous road.
All they are doing is doing a study to see if they can move the dykes back from the main road to try to improve safety.
Note this paragraph about the purpose of the study.
The trial will cover the relocation of sections of dyke over a distance of about one kilometre along the A47 Acle Straight and is to be used to determine whether species will relocate to dykes constructed further away from the existing carriageway edges. If proven successful the trial dyke relocation may lead to relocation of the roadside dykes and improve the safety for road users. The trial dykes will be regularly monitored over a minimum period of two years.
So there you have it, plants are move important than those who live in Yarmouth, who need a better job or even one at all!
European Computer Driving Licence
I had never heard of this until Wednesday, when an unemployed man said that he’d been offered a course to get him back to work. I am not sure, if it helped him get a job, but it strikes me that it is simple proof, that the holder has the minimum computer skills needed in the most basic of jobs. Speaking to two friends at dinner that night, it turned out that both their sons had done this qualification at school and had thought it worthwhile.
I have read about the syllabus on the British Computer Society’s web site. As I have actually written a book on how to use the Internet and have many years of computing experience, this qualification is something I could teach or at least point people in the right direction.
There is almost a barter here, in that I might teach say an unemployed person, a bit of computing and they do a few of the jobs that I can’t manage in my state. I suspect too, that I’m not the only person with good computer skills, who needs a bit of other support.
The Anonymous Widower 