The Anonymous Widower

Likelihood Of Dying From A Positive Test For The Covids

Bob, one of my mentors on making sense of data always suggested looking at ratios, when you wanted to investigate a database.

These ratios are the chance of dying after a positive test for Covid-19 in various places in the UK, based on Government statistics.

At the moment, the ratios are mainly  from England, but I may expand them with time.

Countries

  • England – 2.8 %
  • Northern Ireland – 1.7 %
  • Scotland – 3.3 %
  • Wales – 2.3 %

Regions

  • London – 2.0 %

London Boroughs

  • Barking and Dagenham – 1.9 %
  • Barnet 2.4 %
  • Bexley – 2,0 %
  • Brent – 3.0 %
  • Bromley – 2.0 %
  • Camden – 1.7 %
  • Croydon – 2.8 %
  • Ealing – 2.1 %
  • Enfield – 10.1 %
  • Greenwich – 1.8 %
  • Hackney – 1.7 %
  • Hammersmith and Fulham – 1.8 %
  • Haringey – 1.8 %
  • Harrow – 2.9 %
  • Havering – 2.8 %
  • Hillingdon – 2.1 %
  • Hounslow – 2.1 %
  • Islington – 1.5 %
  • Kensington and Chelsea – 2.1 %
  • Kingston upon Thames – 2.2 %
  • Lewisham – 2.3 %
  • Merton – 2.5 %
  • Newham – 1.7 %
  • Redbridge – 2.1 %
  • Richmond upon Thames – 2.3 %
  • Southwark – 1.4 %
  • Sutton – 2.2 %
  • Tower Hamlets – 1.1 %
  • Waltham Forest – 1.9 %
  • Wandsworth – 1.9 %
  • Westminster – 2.0 %

Big Cities

  • Belfast – 1.9 %
  • Birmingham 2.8 %
  • Bradford – 2.3 %
  • Bristol – 1.3 %
  • Cardiff – 2.5 %
  • Coventry – 2.3 %
  • Derby – 3.3 %
  • Edinburgh – 3.4 %
  • Glasgow – 3.0 %
  • Hull – 3.1 %
  • Leeds – 2.1 %
  • Leicester – 1.9 %
  • Liverpool – 2.6 %
  • Manchester – 1.9 %
  • Newcastle – 1.8 %
  • Nottingham – 1.9 %
  • Sheffield 2.6 %

Medium-Sized Towns and Cities

  • Blackpool – 4.6 %
  • Bolton – 3.0 %
  • Bournemouth, Christchurch and Poole – 2.4 %
  • Brighton and Hove – 1.9 %
  • Luton – 2.6 %
  • Middlesbrough – 2.8 %
  • Milton Keynes – 2.0 %
  • Peterborough – 2.2 %
  • Plymouth – 2.2 %
  • Portsmouth – 1.8 %
  • Reading – 3.0 %
  • Rotherham – 4.0 %
  • Salford – 2.9 %
  • Southampton 2.1 %
  • Southend-on-Sea – 3.0 %
  • Stoke-on-Trent 3.5 %
  • Stockport – 3.2 %
  • Sunderland – 3.8 %
  • Wakefield – 3.1 %
  • Warrington – 2.8 %
  • Wigan – 3.8 %
  • Wolverhampton – 2.9 %
  • York 2.0 %

English Countryside

  • Bath and North East Somerset – 1.6 %
  • Bedford – 3.7 %
  • Buckinghamshire – 2.3 %
  • Cambridgeshire – 2.6 %
  • Central Bedfordshire – 3.7 %
  • Cheshire – 4.0 %
  • County Durham – 3.5 %
  • Cumbria – 4.1 %
  • Derbyshire – 3.6 %
  • Devon – 3.0 %
  • Dorset – 3.4 %
  • East Riding of Yorkshire – 4.0 %
  • Essex – 2.7 %
  • Gloucestershire – 4.6 %
  • Hampshire – 3.3 %
  • Herefordshire – 7.8 %
  • Hertfordshire – 8.3 %
  • Isle of Wight – 3.4 %
  • Kent – 2.9 %
  • Lancashire – 3.1 %
  • Leicestershire – 2.9 %
  • Lincolnshire – 3.9 %
  • Medway – 2.6 %
  • Norfolk – 3.2 %
  • North Yorkshire – 3.1 %
  • Northamptonshire – 3.7 %
  • Northumberland – 3.6 %
  • Nottinghamshire – 3.0 %
  • Oxfordshire – 2.0 %
  • Redcar and Cleveland – 3.2 %
  • Rutland – 3.3 %
  • Shropshire – 4.0 %
  • Staffordshire – 4.0 %
  • Sussex – 3.0 %
  • Suffolk – 4.9 %
  • Surrey – 2.8 %
  • Torbay – 4.0 %
  • Warwickshire – 3.6 %
  • Windsor and Maidenhead – 2.6 %
  • Worcestershire – 4.0 %

Miscellaneous

  • Cornwall and Isles of Scilly – 2.8 %
  • Highland – 2.7 %
  • Isle of Wight – 3.4 %
  • Orkney Islands – 5.1 %
  • Scottish Borders – 3.8 %
  • Shetland Islands – 4.7 %

Note that all values are rounded to one decimal place.

Conclusions

Can I draw any conclusions from the data.

The Four Countries

The mean for the whole of the UK, is 2.8 %, which is the same as England.

  • Given that England is the largest country, this is not surprising.
  • But why is Scotland at 3.3 % higher than England and Northern Ireland and Wales substantially better than England?

Is this a result of devolution? Or a result of national character?

Town Or Country

Looking at English cities and larger towns, their values seem to be lower than the countryside.

I wonder why this is?

To be continued…

January 5, 2021 Posted by | Health | | 9 Comments

Hydrogen Fuel ‘In Time For COP26’ For Glasgow

The title of this post, is the same as that of this article on Brinkwire.

This is the introductory paragraph.

The companies behind the plans for a new £ 45 million hydrogen production facility in central Scotland have announced the site of the facility, which is planned to be partially operational prior to the delayed COP26 conference in Glasgow next year.

The article gives a lot of useful information including.

  1. The plant is at Lesmahagow as I reported in Plans For £45m Scottish Green Hydrogen Production Plant Revealed.
  2. It will initially have a 9 MW electrolyser, which could be upgraded to 20 MW.
  3. When fully-developed is could create a thousand tonnes of hydrogen per year.The hydrogen will be used to power buses in Aberdeen and Glasgow.

Construction could start this year.

January 5, 2021 Posted by | Hydrogen | , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Foresight Partners With CNG Fuels To Deliver Carbon-Neutral UK Transport Network As Demand For Clean Fuels Grows

The title of this post is the same as that of this press release from the Foresight Group.

These four bullet points introduce the document.

  • Two Foresight investment funds have partnered with CNG Fuels to acquire and grow a strategic network of biomethane HGV refuelling stations across the UK
  • CNG Fuels is the UK’s dominant supplier of renewable biomethane compressed natural gas for the UK’s truck sector
  • Transport sector emissions accounted for 34% of UK emissions in 2019
  • Biomethane-refuelling technologies reduce carbon emissions by 80+% and lower operating costs and improve air quality.

This web page is the home page of the CNG Fuels web site.

Judging by the picture on the CNG Fuels have Waitrose as a customer.

It looks to me, that Foresight Group and CNG Fuels are companies to watch, as biomethane or renewable natural gas, produced from food waste could be a valuable alternative fuel to decarbonise trucks.

January 5, 2021 Posted by | Transport | , , , , , | Leave a comment

Fuel Cell Enabling Technologies, Inc. Announces First Major Customer, Signs Memorandum of Understanding Regarding Purchase of Fuel Cells for Locomotives

The title of this post, is the same as that of this article on Cision.

This is the introductory paragraph.

Fuel Cell Enabling Technologies, Inc. (FCET), a start-up energy technology company that has developed a novel, low-cost solid oxide fuel cell (SOFC) system, has announced a memorandum of understanding (MOU) with NextGenPropulsion, LLC (NGP) indicating NGP’s intent to purchase FCET fuel cells for NGP light-rail trains and freight locomotives. In addition to fuel cell orders, this would mean engineering collaboration between the two firms, each bringing its specific and considerable expertise to these projects.

I have been saying that hydrogen freight locomotives are certain to be ordered in a few years.

Hydrogen-powered freight locomotives, are in my opinion, the logical way of decarbonising rail freight.

January 5, 2021 Posted by | Hydrogen | , , , , , , | Leave a comment