The Anonymous Widower

Jobs, Homes And The Economy: Bakerloo Line Upgrade And Extension To Be Transformational For London

The title of this post, is the same as that of this article on Rail Technology Magazine.

This is the sub-heading.

The government has been urged to use the upcoming spring budget to commit to upgrading and extending the Bakerloo line after a new impact assessment found its effects could be transformational.

These three paragraphs introduce the article.

The impact assessment – commissioned by Central London Forward, a partnership of 12 central London boroughs – finds that such a move would boost the economy, unlock new homes, create new jobs, and more.

The upgrade would centre around new trains and signalling, while the extension would take the terminus to Lewisham in the first phase, and eventually to Hayes – adding 14 new stations.

The impact assessment concludes that the extension and upgrade of the Bakerloo line would create 9,700 jobs, 190,000 square metres of commercial floorspace, as well as generate £1.5bn of GVA.

The article is a must-read and eloquently puts the case for the Bakerloo Line Extension.

I have a few thoughts.

A Loop At Brixton For The Victoria Line

This has been proposed and the Wikipedia entry for the Victoria Line has this paragraph.

Proposals have been made to extend the line one stop southwards from Brixton to Herne Hill, a significant interchange in south London providing access to Kent, Blackfriars, London Bridge and Sutton. The latter station would be on a large reversing loop with a single platform removing a critical capacity restriction eliminating the need for trains to reverse at Brixton and provide a more obvious route for passengers who look for the nearest tube station before any other transport options.

I like this idea.

• It will make it easier to run the full frequency of 33 trains per hour (tph) between Brixton and Walthamstow Central stations.
• Loops at Heathrow and Liverpool seem to work very well.
• A single-platform with platform-edge doors has a high level of safety.
• Only one tunnel boring machine (TBM) would be needed.
• Large lifts could be used between the surface and the platform.
• It is a more affordable option.

But perhaps most importantly, I am sure, the loop could be built whilst other services at Brixton and Herne Hill were running almost without disruption, as services did at Kennington, whilst the Battersea Extension of the Northern Line was built.

A Loop At Elephant And Castle For The Bakerloo Line

I have spent forty years involved in project management, writing software for project managers and generally listening to some of the thoughts and experiences of some of the best engineers from all over the world.

One common thread, which is best illustrated by how the size of lift possible increased in the North Sea in the 1970s, is that as time has progressed machines have got bigger and more capable, and the techniques of using them has improved immeasurably.

The Crossrail tunnel boring machines (TBM) make those used on the Jubilee Line extension or the Channel Tunnel look like toys. But not only are the TBMs bigger and faster, they have all the precision and control to go through the eye of the smallest needle.

If we look at the proposals for the Bakerloo Line Extension, there have been several differing ideas. Some envisage going under Camberwell and in others the trains terminate on the Hayes line.

Transport for London (TfL), obviously know the traffic patterns, but do we really want to take the chance of say connecting the Hayes line to the Bakerloo and then finding that it’s not the best solution?

What we should do is augment the services in the area, by providing a good alternative transport route, that links to some of the traditional rail lines to give even more flexibility. We certainly shouldn’t repeat the grave mistake that was made at Brixton in the 1960s by not connecting the Victoria line to the surface rail lines.

This is Transport for London’s indicative map of the extension.

I have reason to believe that the Northern Line Extension may be being built as an extension to the Kennington Loop.

So could we design the Bakerloo Line Extension as a loop starting and finishing at Elephant and Castle calling at important stations?

A possible route could be.

• Elephant and Castle – Interchange with Northern Line and National Rail including Thameslink
• Old Kent Road 1 – Proposed on Map
• Old Kent Road 2 – Proposed on Map
• New Cross Gate – Interchange with London Overground and National Rail
• Lewisham – Interchange with Docklands Light Railway and National Rail including Hayes Line
• Catford Bridge – Interchange with Catford station and National Rail including Hayes Line and Thameslink
• Peckham Rye – Interchange with London Overground and National Rail
• Camberwell – Interchange with National Rail including Thameslink
• Elephant and Castle

The advantages of this simple design are.

1. The tunnel would be excavated in one pass by a single TBM.
2. The line could be deep under any existing infrastructure.
3. Most stations would be simple one-platform affairs, with perhaps only large lifts and emergency stairs, to give unrivalled step-free access for all from the street to the train. Surely lifts exist, that are large and fast enough to dispense with escalators.
4. For safety, passenger convenience and flows, and other reasons, the stations could have two entrances, at opposite ends of the platform.
5. The simple station entrances would be much easier to position on the surface, as they wouldn’t need to be much bigger than the area demanded by the lifts.
6. A  single loop would only need half the number of platform edge doors.
7. At stations like New Cross Gate, Lewisham, Catford  and Peckham Rye the lifts would surface within the confines of the existing surface stations.
8. The route has interchanges with the Brighton Main Line, East London Line, Hayes  Link, Thameslink and other services, so this would give lots of travel possibilities.
9. Trains do not need a terminal platform, as they just keep going on back to Elephant and Castle.
10. The loop would be operationally very simple, with no points to go wrong. TfL have aspirations to run twenty-seven trains per hour on the Bakerloo and a simple reversing loop , which would mean the driver didn’t have to change ends, must certainly help this. It would probably be a lot more difficult to get this capacity at the northern end of the line,where Harrow and Wealdstone doesn’t have the required capacity and the only possibility for a reversing loop would be north of Stonebridge Park.
11. Elephant and Castle would need little or no modification. Although it would be nice to have lifts to the Bakerloo Line.
12. Somewhere over two billion pounds has been quoted for the extension. A single loop with simple stations must be more affordable.

The main disadvantage is that the loop is only one-way.

But making even part of the loop two-way would create all the operational difficulties of scheduling the trains. It would probably be better, less costly and easier to make the trains go round the loop faster and more frequently.

But if a passenger went round the loop the wrong way and changed direction at Elephant and Castle that would probably only take a dozen minutes or so.

Alternatively, I’m sure some New Routemasters would step up to the plate and provide service in the other direction between the stations.

Future Rolling Stock For The Bakerloo Line

This has a section in the Wikipedia entry for the Bakerloo Line, where this is said.

In the mid 2010s, TfL began a process of ordering new rolling stock to replace trains on the Piccadilly, Central, Bakerloo and Waterloo & City lines. A feasibility study into the new trains showed that new generation trains and re-signalling could increase capacity on the Bakerloo line by 25%, with 27 trains per hour.

In June 2018, the Siemens Mobility Inspiro design was selected.[ These trains would have an open gangway design, wider doorways, air conditioning and the ability to run automatically with a new signalling system.[35] TfL could only afford to order Piccadilly line trains at a cost of £1.5bn. However, the contract with Siemens includes an option for 40 trains for the Bakerloo line in the future. This would take place after the delivery of the Piccadilly line trains in the late 2020s.

A loop from Elephant and Castle with a train every 2¼ minutes, is not going to be short of passengers.

The Catford Interchange

Catford and Catford Bridge stations are not far apart.

In An Opportunity At Catford, I talked about what could be done to create a full step-free interchange, which could be connected to the Bakerloo Line loop underneath.

Would It Be Possible For The Bakerloo And Watford DC Lines To Use The Same Trains?

I answered this question in a post with the same name and this was my conclusion.

A common fleet used by the Bakerloo and Watford DC Line would appear to give advantages and it has been done successfully before.

But what the Bakerloo Line, the Watford DC Line, the Abbey Line and the Bakerloo Line Extension need is a good dose of holistic design.

The current trains on the Watford DC Line would be moved to the London Overground. They could be ideal for the future West London Orbital Railway.

Would There Be Advantages In Creating The West London Orbital Railway And Extending The Bakerloo Line As One Project?

Consider.

• The two lines will have an interchange station at Harlesden, which will need to be rebuilt.
• The current trains on the Watford DC Line could be cascaded to the West London Orbital Railway.
• As new trains are delivered to the Piccadilly Line, some of the current trains could be cascaded to the Bakerloo Line.
• Major work for the Bakerloo Link Extension includes a new tunnel, updated signalling and at least seven underground stations.
• Major work for the West London Orbital probably includes track refurbishment, new signalling and updated stations.

I believe that with good project management, that if these two lines were to be created together, this would be advantageous.

Conclusion

I have only outlined how the two projects might be done together.

But I am absolutely certain, that someone with full knowledge of both projects could build the two at a very affordable cost.

February 22, 2024 Posted by AnonW | Transport/Travel | Abbey Line, Bakerloo Line, Bakerloo Line Extension, Brixton Station, Catford Bridge Station, Catford Station, Class 378 Train, Class 710 Train, Elephant And Castle, Herne Hill Station, Lewisham Station, London Overground, New Tube For London, Project Management, Victoria Line, Watford DC Line, Watford Junction Station, West London Orbital Railway | Leave a comment