New ‘HS3’ Link To Yorkshire Proposed By Thinktank After Region’s HS2 Axe
The title of this post, is the same as this article in the Yorkshire Post.
This is the introductory paragraph.
A new “HS3” high-speed rail line between Yorkshire and the Nottinghamshire town of Newark could help make up for the loss of the HS2 eastern leg from Yorkshire, a report by transport think-tank; Greengauge 21 has suggested.
There is also this map from Greengauge 21.
I clipped my copy of the map from this report on Greengauge 21, which is entitled East, West, North And South.
Note.
- As in the Integrated Plan For The North And Midlands, Derby, Nottingham and Sheffield have direct connections to London via High Speed Two.
- The Derby leg is extended to Sheffield via the existing Midland Main Line.
- The Nottingham leg is extended to Newark, where it joins the East Coast Main Line.
- A new High Speed Line, which is shown in white and labelled HS3 links Newark to the East Coast Main Line and the line between Leeds and York at a new triangular junction South of Colton Junction.
- Part of the current route between Doncaster and Colton Junction is the Selby Diversion, which according to Wikipedia was built for speeds upward of 140 mph.
- The route splits in the region of Colton Junction with the Western leg going to Leeds and Bradford and he Northern leg going to York and Newcastle.
I feel this is a better plan than the previous one from High Speed Two.
- It adds Bradford, Derby and Nottingham to the High Speed Two network.
- There is a connection to Birmingham and possibly the South West and Wales.
- The East Coast Main Line is effectively four-tracked between Newark North Gate and York.
I have a few thoughts.
Colton Junction
This junction will feature a lot in this post, so I had better explain where it is.
The Selby Diversion was built in the 1980s to create a new route, which avoided the newly-discovered Selby coalfield.
Colton Junction is about six miles South of York and is at the Northern end of the Selby Diversion.
This Google Map shows the junction.
Note.
- The East Coast Main Line going between South-West and North-East across the map.
- The railway going North-East leads to York.
- The village of Colton is at the top of the map.
- Colton Junction is South of the village, where the East Coast Main Line splits.
- The line going South-West is the route without electrification to Leeds, used by TransPennine Express and others.
The line going South is the Selby Diversion, used by all trains on the East Coast Main Line.
East Midlands Hub Or East Midlands Parkway
Some reports indicate that a new Birmingham and Nottingham High Speed Line will go via East Midland Parkway station.
- East Midland Parkway is a fully-functioning four-platform station.
- It is already operating.
- There will soon be a large brownfield site next door, when the coal-fired Radcliffe-on-Soar power-station is demolished.
- It has connections to Nottingham and Sheffield via Derby and Chesterfield.
- Platforms are probably long enough to handle splitting and joining.
- An advanced passenger shuttle could be built to East Midlands Airport.
This map from High Speed Two shows the route of the Eastern leg of High Speed Two, where it passes East Midland Parkway station and Radcliffe-on-Soar power-station.
Note.
- The coloured line is the route of High Speed Two.
- Red indicates viaduct
- Yellow indicates cutting.
- Green indicates green tunnel.
- There is a curious clover-leaf shape to the East of High Speed Two.
This Google Map shows the same area.
Note
- The River Soar and Remembrance Way can be picked out on both maps.
- The Midland Main Line runs North-South in the Google Map and passes through East Midlands Parkway station.
- It is possible to pick out the curious clover leaf shape to the North of the railway station, where the rail line goes into the power station.
- Returning to the High Speed Two map it is possible to pick out the railway and power stations.
This map from High Speed Two shows the route of the Eastern leg of High Speed Two, to the South-West of East Midlands Parkway station.
Note.
- The coloured line is the route of High Speed Two.
- Red indicates viaduct.
- East Midlands Parkway station is in the North-East corner of the map.
- The Midland Main Line runs North-South down the Eastern side of the map.
Could the route of High Speed Two be adjusted so that it runs through East Midlands Parkway station?
This Google Map shows a similar area as the second High Speed Two map.
With the exception of the village of Radcliffe-on-Soar, there aren’t many, who would get in the way of the development of a connection between High Speed Two and the Midland Main Line to the South of East Midlands Parkway station.
- High Speed Two crosses Remembrance Way in the South West corner of the map, where there is a junction with the M1 and runs diagonally across the map.
- High Speed Two could probably sneak up the North side of Remembrance Way.
- The station might need to be moved to the North a bit to give space.
- The map also shows the space to the East, that will be created with the demolishing of the power station.
Developing East Midlands Parkway instead of East Midlands Hub could be the more affordable option.
High Speed Two’s Eastern Leg Services
This graphic shows High Speed Two’s services before the Eastern Leg was deleted.
Note.
- Western Leg services are to the left of the vertical black line.
- Eastern Leg services are to the right of the vertical black line.
- Blue indicates a full-size service.
- Yellow indicates a Classic-Compatible service.
Destinations on the former Eastern Leg get the following services.
- Chesterfield – 1 tph
- Darlington – 2 tph
- Durham – 1 tph
- East Midlands Hub – 7 tph
- Leeds – 5 tph
- Newcastle – 3 tph
- Sheffield – 2 tph
- York – 6 tph
Note.
- Two trains will split and join at East Midlands Hub or East Midlands Parkway. But given what I said earlier, the split will take place at East Midlands Parkway.
- Derby, Chesterfield and Sheffield could get two tph.
- If the pattern of the currently proposed High Speed Two service is followed, that would mean that 5tph to Leeds and four tph to York and further North would go through Nottingham.
I suspect that there could be a reduction in either High Speed Services on the Eastern Leg or on the East Coast Main Line.
Splitting And Joining At East Midlands Parkway
Consider.
- All Northbound services on High Speed Two and the Midland Main Line pass through East Midlands Parkway station in the same direction.
- All Southbound services on High Speed Two and the Midland Main Line pass through East Midlands Parkway station in the same direction.
- The four platforms at East Midlands Parkway station will give a lot of flexibility.
If trains split and joined at East Midlands Parkway, there would be no need to reverse to serve Derby, Chesterfield and Sheffield. I can’t see how this could be performed at East Midlands Hub without the Sheffield train reversing. This probably explains why in the original plans for High Speed Two, Sheffield and Chesterfield had their own spur and Derby was not served directly by High Speed Two.
The redesign in the Integrated Rail Plan For The North And Midlands, which abandons the Sheffield spur, probably reduces the costs significantly.
Nottingham
Nottingham will be an extremely busy station with these services running through.
- High Speed Two – 2 tph – Birmingham Curzon Street and Leeds HS2 via Nottingham – Full-Size – 200 metres
- High Speed Two – 1 tph – Birmingham Curzon Street and Newcastle via Nottingham, York, Darlington and Durham – Classic-Compatible – 200 metres
- High Speed Two – 1 tph – London and Leeds HS2 via Nottingham – Classic-Compatible – 200 metres
- High Speed Two – 1 tph – London and Leeds HS2 via Nottingham – Full-Size – 400 metres
- High Speed Two – 1 tph – London and Leeds HS2 via Birmingham Interchange and Nottingham – Full-Size – 400 metres
- High Speed Two – 1 tph – London and York via Nottingham – Classic-Compatible – 200 metres
- High Speed Two – 1 tph – London and Newcastle via Nottingham and York – Classic-Compatible – 200 metres
- High Speed Two – 1 tph – London and Newcastle via Nottingham, York and Darlington – Classic-Compatible – 200 metres
- East Midlands Railway – 1 tph – London St. Pancras and Nottingham via Kettering, Market Harborough and Leicester – Class 810
- East Midlands Railway – 1 tph – London St. Pancras and Nottingham via Kettering, Market Harborough, Leicester, Loughborough, East Midlands Parkway and Beeston – Class 810
- East Midlands Railway – 1 tph – Liverpool Lime Street and Norwich via Chesterfield, Alfreton, Nottingham, Grantham, Peterborough and several other stations – Class 158/170
- East Midlands Railway – 1 tph – Crewe and Newark Castle via Nottingham and several other stations – Class 158/170
- East Midlands Railway – 1 tph – Leicester and Lincoln via East Midlands Parkway, Attenborough, Beeston, Nottingham, Carlton and several other stations – Class 158/170
- CrossCountry – 1 tph – Cardiff Central and Nottingham via Derby, Spondon, Long Eaton, Beeston and several other stations – Class 170
- CrossCountry – 1 tph – Birmingham New Street and Nottingham via Derby – Class 170
- Midlands Connect – 1 tph – Leeds and Bedford via Nottingham and Leicester – Classic-Compatible – 200 metres
Note.
- With High Speed Two services London means London Euston and Old Oak Common.
- Two High Speed Two services do not stop in Nottingham
- With several of these routes I have only put in a few intermediate stations to show the routing of the train at Nottingham.
These services total up to twelve tph going through Nottingham and four tph terminating at Nottingham from London St. Pancras and Birmingham New Street.
Nottingham station would need to be able to handle the following with respect to through trains.
- A train every five minutes.
- Some trains would be 400 metres long.
But there is plenty of space in Nottingham station and High Speed Two’s digital signalling will be able to handle 18 tph.
Nottingham And Newark
The Nottingham and Lincoln Line between Nottingham and Newark appears from my helicopter to be fairly straight.
- The line is double track.
- There are eight stations between Nottingham and the East Coast Main Line.
- The maximum speed of the line is 70 mph.
- It is 18.1 miles between Nottingham and the East Coast Main Line.
- I suspect that it could be upgraded to a 100 mph between Nottingham and the East Coast Main Line.
Typical services in tph will be the same as at Nottingham, which is 12 tph. But there are also occasional freight trains and Peak services to and from London St. Pancras.
With digital signalling on this relatively-simple section, if it were to be fitted with High Speed Two digital signalling, that will have to be able to handle 18 tph, what would you do with the other six tph?
- Some paths would be used to handle the occasional freight trains and Peak services to and from London St. Pancras.
- Some of the capacity could also be used by the stopping trains.
The amount of traffic would probably be less than on the Great Eastern Main Line, which is capable of 100 mph running.
Newark
Newark has the notorious flat crossing, where the Nottingham and Lincoln Line crosses the East Coast Main Line.
This Google Map shows the track layout at Newark.
Note.
- Newark Castle station is on the Nottingham and Lincoln Line and is in the South-West corner of the map.
- Newark North Gate station is on the East Coast Main Line and is in the South-East corner of the map.
- The two rail lines run diagonally across the map and cross near the top of the map towards the right.
- Nottingham lies in a South-Westerly direction from this map.
- Lincoln lies in a North-Easterly direction from this map.
- Doncaster, Leeds and York lie in a North-Westerly direction from this map.
- Grantham, Peterborough and London lie in a South-Easterly direction from this map.
Under the Greengauge 21 plan, trains will need to run in the following directions.
- In both directions on the East Coast Main Line.
- In both directions on the Nottingham and Lincoln Line.
- Coming South on the East Coast Main Line, trains will need to be able to go towards Nottingham on the Notting and Lincoln Line.
- Coming from Nottingham on the Nottingham and Lincoln Line, trains will need to be able to go Leeds and York on the East Coast Main Line.
It would be a complicated set of junctions and flyovers for a railway, but not impossible to design and build.
Newark North Gate And Colton Junction
I’ll repeat the map I showed earlier, that shows the routes between Newark North Gate and Colton Junction.
Note.
- The current East Coast Main Line via Doncaster is shown dotted in black.
- The proposed new route, which is called HS3 is shown in white.
- Colton Junction is at the Northern end of the new track.
I suspect that the new route would be built to the same operating standards as High Speed Two.
- Operating speed of 205 mph.
- High specification electrification.
- Signalling capable of handling 18 tph.
- All classic and Classic-Compatible high speed trains would be able to take both routes, but would be limited to 125 mph or 140 mph with in-cab digital signalling on the East Coast Main Line.
- Trains needing to call at Doncaster and freight trains, would use the East Coast Main Line.
- Full-Size High Speed Two trains would generally use the new high speed line.
It looks to be a good way to increase capacity between Newark and Leeds and York.
Timings Between Newark North Gate And Colton Junction
Consider.
- Newark North Gate and Colton Junction are 63 miles apart.
- Trains take 39 minutes.
- There is a stop at Doncaster.
This is an average speed of 97 mph.
If trains went non-stop on the new ‘HS3’ route, there would be these timings at different average speeds.
- 100 mph – 37.8 minutes
- 125 mph – 30.2 minutes
- 140 mph – 27 minutes
- 160 mph – 23.6 minutes
- 180 mph – 22.2 minutes
- 200 mph – 18.9 minutes
Note.
- I have assumed the distance is the same as via the East Coast Main Line.
- I have made no allowance for longer acceleration and deceleration times to and from higher line speeds.
- High Speed Two Classic Compatible Trains could handle up to 205 mph if the track could support it.
It does appear that savings of upwards of fifteen minutes could be possible on all services that could use the new route.
Both East Coast Main Line and High Speed Two services would get time savings.
Colton Junction And York
As I saw and wrote about in London To Edinburgh On Lumo, the route between Leeds and York is being fully electrified.
The East Coast Main Line is already fully electrified, so I doubt the connection between ‘HS3’ and York will be difficult.
Trains will just exchange a 205 mph track for the East Coast Main Line’s 125 mph or 140 mph with in-cab digital signalling.
Colton Junction And Leeds
This High Speed Two Map shows the original planned track layout for High Speed Two to the East of Leeds.
Note.
- The large blue dot indicates Leeds HS2 station.
- The orange lines indicate the new high speed tracks for High Speed Two.
- The track going North-East is High Speed Two’s connection to the East Coast Main Line in the area of Colton Junction.
- The track going South is the Eastern Leg of High Speed Two to East Midlands Hub station, which has now been deleted.
Would it be possible to modify the route of High Speed Two to create a link between the Norther end of Newark and Colton Junction High Speed Line, which Greengauge 21 called HS3 and the proposed Leeds HS2 station?
This map from High Speed Two shows the area, where the High Speed Two Lines were originally proposed to run.
Note.
- The village of Swillington to the East of the proposed route of the Eastern Leg of High Speed Two.
- Junction 45 of the M1 in the North-West corner of the map.
- The River Aire and the Aire and Calder Navigation Canal on the route of High Speed Two to Leeds HS2 station.
This Google Map shows the same area.
I’m no expert, but I do believe that it would be possible to create a chord to allow trains to access Leeds HS2 station from the York direction.
I would suspect that High Speed Two looked seriously at this chord, as it would enable the proposed Leeds HS2 station to have services to York, Newcastle and Edinburgh using the East Coast Main Line.
But there is one problem with this route – It doesn’t allow and easy solution to serve Bradford.
This map from High Speed Two, shows the Leeds HS2 station and the last bit of the approach from the East.
This article on the Architects Journal is entitled Foster + Partners behind designs for Leeds HS2 Station. The article shows.
- Leeds HS2 station is being designed as a terminal station.
- It shares a common concourse with the current Leeds station.
It appears from the pictures in the Architects Journal article, that passengers would have to change trains to get to Bradford.
The alternative would be for trains into Leeds to take the route used by Northern’s service between York and Blackpool North, which goes via Church Fenton, Micklefield, East Garforth, Garforth, Leeds, Bramley, New Pudsey and Bradford Interchange.
But judging by the times of other services, Colton Junction and Leeds would take over twenty minutes and it would be a further twenty minutes to Bradford Interchange.
I can’t think that this is a viable alternative.
Conclusion
I am led to the conclusion, that to get a decent service into Leeds from the East using Greengaige 21’s ‘HS3’ between Newark and Colton junction, would necessitate the building of a new Leeds HS2 station and a new route between the new station and Colton junction.
Zopa Pulls Out Of P2P Consumer Lending As It Blames Cowboy Firms For ‘Damaging Customer Trust’
The title of this post, is the same as that of this article on City AM.
This is the first three paragraphs.
Peer-to-peer giant Zopa has started to inform customers it is closing down its P2P consumer investment division, transferring its loan portfolio to its relatively new bank unit.
In an email to customers, Natasha Wear, peer-to-peer CEO at Zopa, wrote that “after 16 years of peer-to-peer consumer investments at Zopa, we’ve taken the difficult decision to close this part of our business..
“To support this, Zopa Bank will be buying your entire loan portfolio at current face value without any of the fees you’d normally pay for a loan sale,” the email reads.
This is a very sad day.
I have been an investor in Zopa for fourteen years and it has done me well, returning four to five per cent before tax in that period. My first investment was the money, I received from the sale of C’s Porsche.
I also feel that since Giles Andrews ceased to be at the head of the company, Zopa rather lost its way.
Perhaps, their mathematical modelling wasn’t up to scratch.
But at least, I haven’t lost any money on my investment.
Voters In Trump Counties Far More Likely To Die Of Covid
The title of this post is the same as that of this article in The Times.
These are the first two paragraphs.
Americans in areas that voted for President Trump are almost three times more likely to die of Covid-19 than those in counties that supported Joe Biden, an analysis has found.
In the most strongly pro-Trump areas there was an almost sixfold difference in pandemic mortality with the most pro-Biden areas, according to National Public Radio (NPR).
I suppose Trummkopf will say it is fake news.
Zero-Carbon Emission Flights To Anywhere In The World Possible With Just One Stop
The title of this post, is the same as that of this press release from the Aerospace Technology Institute.
This is the first sentence of the press release.
Passengers could one day fly anywhere in the world with no carbon emissions and just one stop on board a concept aircraft unveiled by the Aerospace Technology Institute (ATI) today.
These three paragraphs describe the concept.
Up to 279 passengers could fly between London and San Francisco, USA direct or Auckland, New Zealand with just one stop with the same speed and comfort as today’s aircraft, revolutionising the future of air travel.
Developed by a team of aerospace and aviation experts from across the UK collaborating on the government backed FlyZero project, the concept demonstrates the huge potential of green liquid hydrogen for air travel not just regionally or in short haul flight but for global connectivity. Liquid hydrogen is a lightweight fuel, which has three times the energy of kerosene and sixty times the energy of batteries per kilogramme and emits no CO2 when burned.
Realising a larger, longer range aircraft also allows the concentration of new infrastructure to fewer international airports accelerating the rollout of a global network of zero-carbon emission flights and tackling emissions from long haul flights.
These are my thoughts.
The Airframe
This picture downloaded from the Aerospace Technology Institute web site is a visualisation of their Fly Anywhere Aircraft.
Some features stand out.
The wings are long, narrow and thin, almost like those of a sailplane. High aspect ratio wings like these offer more lift and stability at high altitude, so will the plane fly higher than the 41,000-43,000 feet of an Airbus A350?
I wouldn’t be surprised if it does, as the higher you go, the thinner the air and the less fuel you will burn to maintain speed and altitude.
The horizontal stabiliser is also small as this will reduce drag and better balance with the wing.
The tailfin also appears small for drag reduction.
The body is bloated compared to say an Airbus A 350 or a Boeing 777. Could this be to provide space for the liquid hydrogen, which can’t be stored in the thin wings?
The fuselage also appears to be a lifting body, with the wings blended into the fat body. I suspect that the hydrogen is carried in this part of the fuselage, which would be about the centre of lift of the aeroplane.
The design of the airframe appears to be all about the following.
- Low drag.
- high lift and stability.
- Large internal capacity to hold the liquid hydrogen.
It may just look fat, but it could be as radical as the first Boeing 747 was in 1969.
The Engines
I suspect the engines will be developments of current engines like the Rolls-Royce Trent XWB, which will be modified to run on hydrogen.
If they are modified Trent engines, it will be astonishing to think, that these engines can be traced in an unbroken line to the RB211, which was first run in 1969.
The Flight Controls
Most airliners these days and certainly all those built by Airbus have sophisticated computer control systems and this plane will take them to another level.
The Flight Profile
If you want to fly any aircraft a long distance, you generally climb to a high level fairly quickly and then fly straight and level, before timing the descent so you land at the destination with as small amount of fuel as is safe, to allow a diversion to another airport.
I once flew from Southend to Naples in a Cessna 340.
- I made sure that the tanks were filled to the brim with fuel.
- I climbed to a high altitude as I left Southend Airport.
- For the journey across France I asked for and was given a transit at Flight Level 195 (19,500 feet), which was all legal in France under visual flight rules.
- When the French handed me over to the Italians, legally I should have descended, but the Italians thought I’d been happy across France at FL195, so they didn’t bother to ask me to descend.
- I flew down the West Coast of Italy at the same height, with an airspeed of 185 knots (213 mph)
- I was then vectored into Naples Airport by radar.
I remember the flight of 981 miles took around six hours. That is an average of 163.5 mph.
I would expect the proposed aircraft would fly a similar profile, but the high level cruise would be somewhere above the 41,000-43,000 feet of an Airbus A 350. We must have a lot of data about flying higher as Concorde flew at 60,000 feet and some military aircraft fly at over 80,000 feet.
The press release talks about London to San Francisco, which is a distance of 5368 miles.
This aircraft wouldn’t sell unless it was able to beat current flight time of eleven hours and five minutes on that route.
Ground Handling
When the Boeing 747 started flying in the 1970s, size was a big problem and this aircraft with its long wing may need modifications to runways, taxiways and terminals.
Passenger Capacity
The press release states that the capacity of the aircraft will be 279 passengers, as against the 315 and 369 passengers of the two versions of the A 350.
So will there be more flights carrying less passengers?
Liquid Hydrogen Refuelling
NASA were doing this successfully in the 1960s for Saturn rockets and the Space Shuttle.
Conclusion
This aircraft is feasible.
Ryse Hydrogen Is Now Ryze Hydrogen
Jo Bamford’s company Ryse Hydrogen is now called Ryze Hydrogen.
I have changed this blog to use the new spelling as I suspect Ryse clashed with the name of a computer game.
Lhyfe’s Green Hydrogen To Power Deutsche Bahn Trains
The title of this post, is the same as that of this article on Renewables Now.
This is the first paragraph.
Deutsche Bahn AG has agreed to source about 30 tonnes of green hydrogen from French producer Lhyfe from 2024 onward to power its trains as the German railway operator seeks to reach climate neutrality by 2040.
The electrolyser will be built at Tuebingen.
In Can The UK Have A Capacity To Create Five GW Of Green Hydrogen?, I said the following.
Ryze Hydrogen are building the Herne Bay electrolyser.
- It will consume 23 MW of solar and wind power.
- It will produce ten tonnes of hydrogen per day.
The electrolyser will consume 552 MWh to produce ten tonnes of hydrogen, so creating one tonne of hydrogen needs 55.2 MWh of electricity.
I suspect that in my quote above from the article on Renewables Now, that the Tuebingen electrolyser will be producing thirty tonnes of hydrogen per day or just under 11,000 tonnes per year.
In that case it would be three times the size of the Herne Bay Electrolyser.