Wear Mask, Save Live
Even Borat, is doing his bit to help fight Covids!
I photographed him lying above the Old Street roundabout.
Police Shut Down Illegal Halloween Parties And A Christening
The title of this post is the same as that of this article on the Evening Standard.
This is the opening paragraph.
Police were called to break up 11 illegal lockdown parties in the capital over the Halloween weekend – including a 1,000 people rave in East London.
The police were also called to a Christening, where a £10,000 fixed-penalty notice was handed out.
When will people learn that Careless Meeting Costs Lives.
Perhaps we should avoid the two R-words; rave and religion to keep the all important R-number down.
Bristol Illegal Rave Attended By 700 People
The title of this post, is the same as that of this article on the BBC.
This is the sub-title.
Police say they were attacked as they tried to break up an illegal rave at a warehouse near Bristol.
Let’s hope it gives lots of work for criminal defence solicitors.
Equilibrium With The Covids
The rate of lab confirmed cases in six cities per 100,000 of the population are as follows.
- London – 836.6
- Leeds – 2128
- Liverpool – 2113.6
- Manchester – 2879.6
- Sheffield – 2291.2
- Hull – 1013.9
In addition, if you look at many individual London boroughs, they are around the 600-900 range.
Is There A London Equilibrium?
As London is a more-or-less coherent entity has the virus found an equilibrium with the city?
As a Control Engineer, I think London is showing a classic example of water finding its own level.
I would suspect that the average Londoner, visits a couple of other boroughs very regularly.
Does this mean that the virus gets transferred regularly across borough boundaries and this levels things up?
Is There A Northern Equilibrium?
It also looks like the virus has found a higher equilibrium with the Northern cities.
If you look at other areas in the North, that sit between the major cities, they seem in line with rates in Liverpool, Manchester and Leeds..
The city that is out of line is Hull, which has a rate half that of the others. Could this be because of its location?
Suffolk In The Sixties
I remember Suffolk in the 1960s, when it was three counties; East Suffolk, West Suffolk and Ipswich.
All counties had different pub opening hours people would drive miles to get an extra half-hour of drinking.
I wonder if the different regulations and lock-downs across the various parts of the North have actually increased travel across regions and spread the virus.
This behaviour has created an equilibrium between the virus and the population.
Is There A East Anglian Equilibrium?
These are the figures for the three East Anglian counties.
- Cambridgeshire – 596
- Norfolk – 536
- Suffolk – 531
There is not a large spread in the figures.
Other Areas
I have looked at other areas and a similar pattern seems to apply, where the figures are more or less the same in somewhere like the West Midlands, the South West (Cornwall, Devon, Dorset, Somerset and Wiltshire) or Wales.
Energy Scavenging Nanogenerator Finds Power All Around Us
The title of this post, is the same as that of this article on Phys.org.
These are the opening two paragraphs.
Imagine a mobile phone charger that doesn’t need a wireless or mains power source. Or a pacemaker with inbuilt organic energy sources within the human body.
Australian researchers led by Flinders University are picking up the challenge of “scavenging” invisible power from low-frequency vibrations in the surrounding environment, including wind, air or even contact-separation energy (static electricity).
I’ve known people with pacemakers, including someone with a nuclear-powered one. But surely this would be better, as the power source would be everlasting.
I don’t think I know anyone with one now! Are they less common?
Conclusion
If this can be commercialised, it is a very interesting development.
Will The Return Of Strictly Cause The Number Of Cases Of The Covids To Drop?
The phrase Bread and Circuses, was apparently first used by Juvenal, who was a Roman poet
During the covids, Asda, Morrisons, Sainsburys, Tesco, Waitrose and others have delivered the bread.
And now the BBC is bringing on the circuses with the start of the new series of Strictly from tomorrow.
If the rate does drop, the Government should buy up the latest James Bond film and show it on a Friday night.
Why Is Manchester The Odd City Out?
I find the different reactions of the large Northern cities interesting.
I have seen no comment and moaning from Leeds, Newcastle and Sheffield, and Liverpool and the rest of Lancashire seems to have accepted their Tier 3. fate.
Only Manchester seems to have a serious objection.
I know Liverpool well, as I went to Liverpool University in the 1960s, met my late wife there and we lived together in the city for a couple of years.
I still visit the City regularly, as I like the city’s weather and outlook and do business with my old University.
I have visited Manchester many times, often for football (I support Ipswich, despite being a Londoner!) and I find the city very different to Liverpool.
But I don’t seem to warm to Manchester, as I do to Liverpool and the other large cities of the North.
Or is it Manchester doesn’t warm to me?
Andy Burnham is not a Mancunian and could it be, that his hard stand against the Government, is driven by wanting to be more Mancunian, than the Mancunians.
Manchester puzzles me, but it does seem to be out of step with the rest of the North.
How Covids-Unfriendly Is A Class 345 Train?
These pictures show Crossrail’s Class 345 trains.
Note.
- This example was a nine-car train going to Heathrow.
- It is 205 metres long and can carry 1500 passengers.
- As with most London Underground trains, most of the passengers sit longitudinally.
- Having watched people on these trains several times in the last few weeks and feel that the design encourages social-distancing
But there are other big advantages, when it comes to suppressing the virus.
- Each car has three sets of sliding doors on each side, which is more than most trains. As the lobbies on the train are spacious, does this help the maintaining of social-distancing, when entering and leaving the train.
- The trains are walk-through, so if you end up with a car, that is full of mask deniers, it is easy to move.
- The trains have full air-conditioning, which should reduce the amount of virus in the air.
I hope Transport for London are watching the statistics for the covids, to see if they go up or down, as more new trains are introduced on Crossrail routes.
How Would Opening Crossrail Affect The Covids In London?
There seems to be very little on the Internet about this, that I can find, Partly because if you search for Crossrail and Covid-19 you get lots of articles about how the virus is delaying construction.
These are a few of my thoughts.
The Class 345 Trains
Crossrail’s Class 345 trains are 205 metres long and can hold 1500 passengers.
- The passenger density is 7.3 passengers per metre, but the trains have three doors per car, as opposed to others like the Class 700 trains, which have a similar passenger density and only two doors.
- Would the space and the wide doors, make social-distancing easier at all times?
- I’ve ridden these trains several times during the pandemic and their full air-conditioning for the tunnels, would surely be ideal to help keep the trains free of the virus, by changing the air regularly.
- The trains are walk-through, which means you can walk-away from someone who looks dodgy.
There will probably be some better trains to reduce the spreading of the virus, but I doubt there will be that many.
The Stations
I’ve only been in two Crossrail stations.
These are pictures taken in the Woolwich station box.
And these pictures were taken inside the Canary Wharf station box
Note.
- I think we can assume that the platforms and associated station tunnels are not small.
- All underground platforms will have platform edge doors.
- The stations will be fully air-conditioned.
- Both picture sets were taken in 2013.
Will passengers be safer and less likely to contract the virus compared to the cramped stations of the Central Line?
Crossrail Will Increase Capacity On London’s Rail System
Crossrail will add nearly twenty per cent of extra capacity to London’s East-West rail network.
That will have two major effects.
- More passengers will use rail transport, rather, than buses or their own cars.
- There will be more space, that will make social-distancing easier on rail journeys.
I can’t see either increasing the spread of the covids.
Will Passengers Who Can, Swap To Crossrail From Other Lines?
Consider.
- The Central Line will have interchanges with Crossrail at Stratford, Tottenham Court Road, Bond Street and Ealing Broadway.
- Stratford and Ealing Broadway currently takes 52 minutes on the Central Line and will take 27 minutes on Crossrail.
- The Hammersmith and City Line will have interchanges with Crossrail at Whitechapel, Liverpool Street and Paddington.
- Whitechapel and Paddington currently takes 40 minutes on the Hammersmith and City Line and will take 13 minutes on Crossrail.
- The Jubilee Line will have interchanges with Crossrail at Canary Wharf, Stratford and Bond Street.
- Stratford and Ealing Broadway currently takes 32 minutes on the Jubilee Line and will take 15 minutes on Crossrail.
Looking at speed alone, there will be good reasons to change to Crossrail for many.
But there will also be journeys that currently require a change will be direct because of Crossrail.
- Slough and Liverpool Street or Canary Wharf
- Woolwich and Heathrow
- Gidea Park and Paddington,
And there will be round-the corner journeys with a cross-platform interchange at Whitechapel.
Ilford and Canary Wharf currently takes 33 minutes and will take 17 minutes after Crossrail opens.
I am absolutely sure, that after Crossrail opens, passengers will use the route for a faster journey and one because of more spacious trains and stations, a more socially-distanced one.
An Air-Conditioned Journey
The proportion of time on a typical journey in London, spent in an air-conditioned train or station will increase.
This can only be a good thing for fighting the covids.
Conclusion
It looks to my eye, that Crossrail will not increase the spread of the covids and it could be a powerful weapon to reduce the levels of the virus across London.
I think it should be opened as soon as possible.
Could Crossrail Be Opened In Sections?
Unlike some of London’s Underground lines, which were provided with below-ground turnbacks, there appears to be no turnback on Crossrail between Whitechapel and Paddington.
Compare that with the Piccadilly Line, which has turnbacks at Wood Green and Hyde Park Corner, which are near the end of the central tunnel.
Crossrail does have crossovers at Custom House, Whitechapel and between Farringdon and Tottenham Court Road, so could any of these be used to improvise a turnback.
What effects would there be if say a four trains per hour (tph) preview service were to be run between Abbey Wood and Whitechapel?
- It would allow Crossrail to test systems.
- It would improve connections to Canary Wharf.
- It would give Londoners and others a small cup of much-needed cheer.
I also doubt, it would increase the number of cases of the covids in London, if everybody behaved themselves.
It would need Abbey Wood, Woolwich, Custom House, Canary Wharf and Whitechapel stations to be certified safe to open.
- Abbey Wood station is already open for National Rail services and could surely be easy to finish and certify.
- Woolwich, Custom House and Canary Wharf are more or less independent buildings and again should be easy to open.
- Only Whitechapel looks difficult with a lot of work to do.
Perhaps the preview service should terminate at Custom House? But that doesn’t include the important Canary Wharf!
- Could trains just pass through Whitechapel station and still use the turnback? The platform edge doors would ensure safety.
- Could trains even use an improvised turnback on the Western side of Farringdon, where there is a crossover?
- As stations at Liverpool Street and Farringdon became available, they could be added to the route.
I’m sure that there’s a solution in there, that could allow Crossrail to open gradually, rather than as a big bang.
I hope Crossrail are looking at it, as the design and architecture of this railway could be a weapon in the fight against covids.
Alternative Funding Seems To Be Doing Well
I watch a couple of crowdfunding sites and they certainly seem to be still attracting funds.
I have recently invested a small sum in Cornish Lithium, as I like both the technology and history of the company.
Their round of crowdfunding is coming to an end, as they have raised £4.5 million against a target of £1.5 million.
It certainly appears that there is money for a good company in these troubled times.
The Anonymous Widower 