The Anonymous Widower

Rockton To Buy Up To 40 Heart Aerospace ES-30 Electric Aircraft

The title of this post, is the same as that of this article on Aviation Source News.

These are the first two paragraphs.

Swedish investment and aircraft leasing company Rockton has confirmed that it will acquire up to 40 of Heart Aerospace’s regional electric aircraft, the ES-30.

The purchase confirmation converts an earlier letter of intent with the Swedish aircraft manufacturer into firm purchase orders for 20 aircraft with purchase rights for 20 more.

It’s good to see a leasing company getting involved, as it probably means that the finances are viable.

The Wikipedia entry for Heart Aerospace, describes the range of the ES-30 like this.

The ES-30 is planned to have a 108 nautical miles (200 kilometres; 124 miles) fully electric range or a 215 nmi (398 km; 247 mi) range when also using generators powered by aviation biofuel. A range of 430 nmi (800 km; 490 mi) could be possible if only 25 passengers are carried.

These are some UK airport to airport distances.

  • Aberdeen – Kirkwall – 124 miles
  • Aberdeen – Sumburgh – 188 miles
  • Anglesey – Belfast – 109 miles
  • Anglesey – Belfast City – 109 miles
  • Anglesey – Cork – 192 miles
  • Anglesey – Derry – 163 miles
  • Anglesey – Dublin – 71 miles
  • Anglesey – Ronaldsway – 58 miles
  • Anglesey – Shannon – 186 miles
  • Anglesey – Waterford – 130 miles
  • Birmingham – Belfast – 226 miles
  • Birmingham – Dublin – 200 miles
  • Birmingham – Edinburgh – 250 miles
  • Birmingham – Glasgow – 260 miles
  • Birmingham – Inverness – 363 miles
  • Birmingham – Kirkwall – 451 miles
  • Birmingham – Newcastle – 178 miles
  • Birmingham – Newquay – 198 miles
  • Birmingham – Schipol – 402 miles
  • Birmingham – Sumburgh – 513 miles
    Birmingham – Wick – 418 miles
  • Edinburgh – Schipol – 473 miles
  • Gatwick – Edinburgh – 356 miles
  • Gatwick – Schipol – 374 miles
  • Glasgow – Belfast – 106 miles
  • Glasgow – Belfast City – 103 miles
  • Glasgow – Derry – 121 miles
  • Glasgow – Kirkwall – 221 miles
  • Glasgow – Sumburgh – 300 miles
  • Glasgow – Stornoway – 177 miles
  • Haverfordwest – Waterford – 94 miles
  • Haverfordwest – Newquay – 94 miles
  • Heathrow – Newquay – 212 miles
  • Humberside – Schipol – 333 miles
  • Inverness – Kirkwall – 106 miles
  • Inverness – Sumburgh – 190 miles
  • Leeds – Schipol – 386 miles
  • Liverpool – Belfast City – 151 miles
  • Liverpool – Cardiff – 135 miles
  • Liverpool – Dublin – 140 miles
  • Liverpool – Haverfordwest – 127 miles
  • Liverpool – Norwich – 180 miles
  • Liverpool – Ronaldsway – 89 miles
  • London City – Haverfordwest – 167 miles
  • London City – Humberside – 145 miles
  • London City – Manchester – 161 miles
  • London City – Norwich – 100 miles
  • Manchester – Schipol  413 miles
  • Newcastle – Cardiff – 230 miles
  • Newcastle – Belfast City – 168 miles
  • Newcastle – Newquay – 346 miles
  • Newcastle – Schipol – 395 miles
  • Newquay – Brest – 140 miles
  • Newquay – Cardiff  98 miles
  • Newquay – Cork – 180 miles
  • Newquay – Deauville – 241 miles
  • Newquay – Dinard – 183 miles
  • Newquay – Dublin – 212 miles
  • Newquay – Guernsey – 128 miles
  • Newquay – Jersey – 152 miles
  • Newquay – Nantes – 211 miles
  • Newquay – Orly – 351 miles
  • Newquay – Rouen – 285 miles
  • Newquay – Scillies – 68 miles
  • Newquay – Waterford – 150 miles
  • Norwich – Schipol – 277 miles
  • Ronaldsway – Belfast – 75 miles
  • Ronaldsway – Belfast City – 62 miles
  • Ronaldsway – Birmingham – 165 miles
  • Ronaldsway – Dublin – 80 miles
  • Ronaldsway – East Midlands – 161 miles
  • Ronaldsway – Glasgow – 123 miles
  • Ronaldsway – Leeds – 121 miles
  • Ronaldsway – Manchester – 109 miles
  • Southend – Schipol – 180 miles
  • Stansted – Aberdeen – 379 miles
  • Stansted – Edinburgh – 316 miles
  • Stansted – Glasgow – 334 miles
  • Stansted – Inverness – 426 miles
  • Stansted – Schipol – 335 miles
  • Stansted – Wick – 472 miles
  • Sumburgh – Bergen – 226 miles
  • Sumburgh – Kirkwall –  85 miles

Note.

  1. I have included Schipol, as in certain areas of the UK, passengers sometimes fly long-haul from Schipol.
  2. I have included Haverfordwest, as it will be close to all the wind farm activity in the Celtic Sea.
  3. I have included Anglesey, as I think it has possibilities.
  4. The distances wee calculated using on of the Free Map Tools.

These are some more specific thoughts.

The Basic ES-30 And The UK

With a range of 124 miles, I don’t believe that the range is long enough for the UK.

But saying that there are some established routes, where it should be able to operate.

  • Glasgow – Belfast
  • Glasgow – Belfast City
  • Glasgow – Derry
  • Haverfordwest – Waterford
  • Haverfordwest – Newquay
  • Inverness – Kirkwall
  • Liverpool – Haverfordwest
  • Liverpool – Ronaldsway
  • London City – Norwich
  • Newquay – Cardiff
  • Newquay – Scillies
  • Ronaldsway – Belfast
  • Ronaldsway – Belfast City
  • Ronaldsway – Dublin
  • Ronaldsway – Glasgow
  • Ronaldsway – Leeds
  • Ronaldsway – Manchester

These routes have the following in common.

  • They are mostly between major airports with advanced facilities.
  • Most airports served have access to renewable electricity.
  • Some of the routes can support hundred seat airliners.
  • Fifty percent go to the Isle of Man.

I can see several routes between the UK and the island of Ireland and to and from the Isle of Man using ES 30 aircraft.

The Extended Range ES-30 And The UK

The 247 mile range of the extended range ES-30, brings lots more routes into play.

Key routes could be the following.

  • Aberdeen – Kirkwall
  • Aberdeen – Sumburgh
  • Anglesey – Cork
  • Anglesey – Shannon
  • Birmingham – Belfast
  • Birmingham – Dublin
  • Birmingham – Newcastle
  • Birmingham – Newquay
  • Glasgow – Kirkwall
  • Glasgow – Stornoway
  • Heathrow – Newquay
  • Inverness – Sumburgh
  • Liverpool – Belfast City
  • Liverpool – Dublin
  • Liverpool – Norwich
  • London City – Haverfordwest
  • London City – Humberside
  • London City – Manchester
  • Newcastle – Belfast City
  • Newcastle – Cardiff
  • Newquay – Brest
  • Newquay – Cork
  • Newquay – Deauville
  • Newquay – Dinard
  • Newquay – Dublin
  • Newquay – Guernsey
  • Newquay – Jersey
  • Newquay – Nantes
  • Newquay – Waterford
  • Ronaldsway – Birmingham
  • Ronaldsway – East Midlands

There will also be other routes.

The Extended Range With 25 Passengers ES-30 And The UK

The 490 mile range of the extended range ES-30 with only 25 passengers, brings a few more routes into play.

  • Birmingham – Edinburgh
  • Birmingham – Glasgow
  • Birmingham – Inverness
  • Birmingham – Kirkwall
  • Birmingham – Schipol
  • Birmingham – Wick
  • Edinburgh – Schipol
  • Gatwick – Edinburgh
  • Gatwick – Schipol
  • Glasgow – Sumburgh
  • Humberside – Schipol
  • Leeds – Schipol
  • Manchester – Schipol
  • Newcastle – Newquay
  • Newcastle – Schipol
  • Newquay – Orly
  • Newquay – Rouen
  • Norwich – Schipol
  • Southend – Schipol
  • Stansted – Aberdeen
  • Stansted – Edinburgh
  • Stansted – Inverness
  • Stansted – Glasgow
  • Stansted – Schipol
  • Stansted – Wick

Note.

  1. All airports East of Birmingham and Manchester seem to be close enough to Schipol for an Extended Range ES-30 with 25 passengers to serve the route.
  2. Most major Scottish Airports can be reached from Stansted.
  3. Flying from Gatwick to Scottish Airports is around forty miles longer than flying from Stansted.

Liverpool Airport

Liverpool Airport could be a major destination for the ES 30, as it could be a key airport for flying between the UK and the island of Ireland.

Liverpool would obviously need the electric infrastructure, but I also believe it needs a better connection to the major railway station at Liverpool South Parkway, which has extensive rail connections.

This Google Map shows the area between Liverpool South Parkway station and the airport.

Note.

  1. Liverpool South Parkway station is marked by the red arrow in the North-West corner of the map.
  2. The airport is in the opposite corner, with the terminal to the North of the runway.
  3. The main railway between the South and Liverpool Lime Street passes to the South of the station.
  4. The A561 passes across to the South of the railway and to the North of the airport.

I suspect some form of people mover like the Luton DART can be built between the station and the airport.

It should be noted that as Hunts Cross has only one platform for Merseyrail Northern Line trains and this could be a factor in limiting the line’s capacity. So could a second platform be installed at the airport to both act as an airport station and to increase the frequency on the Northern Line?

I believe that in a couple of years, journey times between Euston and Liverpool South Parkway will be under two hours and they will only get shorter with High Speed Two. With a fast connection between the airport and the station, there could be a sub-three-hour zero-carbon route between London and the island of Ireland.

  • Avanti West Coast Class 805 train to Liverpool South Parkway.
  • People mover to the airport.
  • Electric aircraft on the 140 miles to Dublin.

Dublin air traffic are usually efficient in getting planes in quickly.

Glasgow Airport

Glasgow Airport could be a major destination for the ES 30, as it could be a key airport for flying between the UK and the island of Ireland.

As with Liverpool Airport it needs a better connection to the rail network.

If Glasgow Airport is successful running zero-carbon aircraft to Ireland, this could change all previous thinking on a Glasgow Airport Rail Link.

Ronaldsway Airport

Geography and electric airliners could be very kind to Ronaldsway Airport and the Isle of Man.

  • Electric airliners can easily reach much of the island of Ireland and the UK mainland between Glasgow and Birmingham, from Ronaldsway Airport with ease.
  • The Isle of Man will in a couple of years be surrounded by wind farms.
  • With other developments on the island, it could sell itself to the UK and Ireland, as a green holiday destination.

But what would the motorcycle enthusiasts say?

Anglesey Airport

I believe that Anglesey Airport could be brought to life in a big way by electric aircraft like the ES-30 or the Eviation Alice.

These are flight distances from Anglesey Airport.

  • Anglesey – Belfast – 109 miles
  • Anglesey – Belfast City – 109 miles
  • Anglesey – Cork – 192 miles
  • Anglesey – Derry – 163 miles
  • Anglesey – Dublin – 71 miles
  • Anglesey – Ronaldsway – 58 miles
  • Anglesey – Shannon – 186 miles
  • Anglesey – Waterford – 130 miles

All of these except for Cork, Derry, Shannon and Waterford would be possible in the basic ES-30.

This Google Map shows the airport, which is also labelled as RAF Valley.

Note that the North Wales Coast Line passes the site on the North-East side.

At present, Avanti West Coast trains take nearly four hours between London and Holyhead.

But later this year, new bi-mode Class 805 trains will replace, the current diesel only Class 221 trains.

  • The current diesel only trains take two hours and five minutes between Crewe and Holyhead.
  • The current diesel only trains take one hour and forty-three minutes between Crewe and London Euston.
  • The fastest electric trains take one hour and twenty-nine minutes between Crewe and London Euston.
  • High Speed Two trains will take 56 minutes between Crewe and London Euston.

When you consider that a lot of the North Wales Coast Line, is straight and flat, I can see the following times being possible, with some improvement and smart electrification between Crewe and Holyhead  and a smaller number of stops.

  • Crewe and Anglesey Airport – One hour and twenty minutes
  • London Euston and Anglesey Airport – Two hours and fifty minutes

With High Speed Two Classic-Compatible trains, the London Euston and Anglesey Airport time could be below two hours and thirty minutes.

I believe that with a well-designed terminal at Anglesey Airport, this could be the fastest zero-carbon way between London and Ireland.

Haverfordwest Airport

This Google Map shows the location of Haverfordwest Airport in the East of Pembrokeshire.

This second Google Map shows a close-up of the airport.

 

This map from OpenRailwayMap shows the airport and the nearest railway station.

Note.

  1. Haverfordwest Airport is at the top of the map.
  2. Haverfordwest station is at the bottom of the map.
  3. There are rail connections to Cardiff, Fishguard, Milford Haven, Pembroke Dock and Swansea from the the station.
  4. Rail passengers for London would change at Swansea.

The road looks good between the airport and the station, so would an electric bus to handle transfers be ideal?

Consider.

  • I have flown myself into Haverfordwest Airport and there were no navigation or operational problems that I can remember.
  • With all the wind farm development planned for the coast of Pembrokeshire and the Celtic Sea, I feel that an airport in the area with regular flights to London and perhaps Waterford in Ireland could be essential.
  • London City and Haverfordwest airports are 167 miles apart
  • Waterford and Haverfordwest airports are 94 miles apart
  • Quiet electric aircraft may ease any planning problems.
  • Will a helicopter base be needed for serving wind farms in the Celtic Sea?

I believe, Haverfordwest Airport could be converted into a high-class airport for the Eastern tip of South Wales.

Haverfordwest Airport could also attract other services, given that the Welsh Government have a policy of not building new roads.

I have a feeling that quiet electric airliners will lead to the development of airports like Haverfordwest as feeder airports for the Heathrows and Schipols of this world.

Waterford Airport

Waterford Airport has recently been expanded and it appears from the Wikipedia entry, they are expecting more tourists.

This Google Map shows the position of the airport and the railway station in Waterford.

Note.

  1. The red arrow at the top of the map indicates Waterford station on the Northern side of the city.
  2. The airport is indicated by the blue dot in the South-East corner of the map.
  3. The airport is about ten kilometres from the City Centre.

In the past, Waterford has been quite a busy airport, but Covid-19 seems to have killed most of the traffic.

So could a zero-carbon service between Waterford and Haverfordwest be profitable?

  • Those working with the wind energy in the Celtic Sea might find route useful.
  • It would give a low-carbon route between Waterford and South Wales, which some might like.
  • I also believe that the novelty of flying in an electric plane would attract passengers.

Waterford and Haverfordwest might be one of those routes, where electric planes might be worth trying.

This Google Map shows the Celtic Sea.

Note.

  1. Waterford Airport is indicated in red on the South-East corner of Ireland.
  2. Haverfordwest Airport is on the South-Western tip of Wales.
  3. Newquay Airport is in the South-East corner of the map on the North coast of Cornwall.

There could be as much as 50 GW of floating wind farms installed in this area.

I feel that there could be a case for a triangular Haverfordwest, Newquay and Waterford service.

Newquay Airport

Newquay Airport has been in the news recently because of the antics of Richard Branson and Virgin Orbit.

This Google Map shows the airport in relation to the town.

Note.

  1. The airport is in the North-East corner and boasts a long runway.
  2. The airport serves well over a dozen destinations.
  3. The town of Newquay is in the South-West corner of the map.
  4. Newquay station is by the sea.

All of these places would be suitable destinations for electric aircraft.

  • Birmingham
  • Brest
  • Cardiff
  • Cork
  • Deauville
  • Dinard
  • Dublin
  • Guernsey
  • Heathrow
  • Jersey
  • Nantes
  • Orly
  • Rouen
  • Scillies
  • Waterford

Newquay Airport could get very busy with electric aircraft supporting tourism and the developing wind power industry.

This second Google Map shows the town centre and station.

Surely, having the station by Great Western Beach is good marketing.

In The Proposed Mid-Cornwall Metro, I talked about a plan to run an hourly Metro service between Newquay and Falmouth.

This article on Rail Technology Magazine is dated January 2023 and entitled Mid Cornwall Metro Secures £50m In Levelling Up Funding, where these are the first two paragraphs.

Following yesterday’s major Levelling Up funding announcement, the government has pledged an almost £50m grant to improve the railways linking Newquay, St Austell, Truro and Falmouth in Cornwall.

This financial aid to improve Cornwall Rail links represents the only successful bid out of four that were submitted to the Levelling up funding. The improvement scheme will be helmed by a partnership with Great Western Railway and Network Rail.

Note.

  1. I believe this means the Mid-Cornwall Metro will be built.
  2. Especially as looks like it will cost less than £100 million.
  3. As this Metro will serve Newquay, it shouldn’t be too difficult to link the plane with the train, with perhaps a zero-carbon bus.
  4. The Metro would then link Newquay Airport to the main population centres of Newquay, St Austell, Truro and Falmouth.
  5. If the Metro could be run using zero-carbon trains, that would surely put the icing on the cake!

 

The map from OpenRailwayMap shows the route.

Note.

  1. Newquay is in the North-West corner of the map.
  2. Trains spend around 6-7 minutes waiting at Newquay.
  3. The blue arrow in the North-East corner marks Par station, where a chord will be reinstated to allow trains to go between Newquay and St. Austell.
  4. Par is the nearest station to the Eden Centre.
  5. Newquay and Par is 20.6 miles.
  6. The route, then goes along the Cornish Main Line, through St. Austell and then on to Truro.
  7. Par and Truro is 18.9 miles.
  8. At Truro the Metro would take the Falmouth branch.
  9. Falmouth and Truro is 11.8 miles.
  10. Trains spend around 7-8 minutes waiting at Falmouth Docks
  11. The total route is just over fifty miles, which probably means that battery-electric trains could work the route with charging at each end, whilst the train is turned round.

This airport and metro combination could give a big-boost to zero-carbon tourism.

Inverness Airport

Inverness Airport has recently been expanded with a station on the Inverness and Aberdeen Line.

Consider.

  • Electric aircraft like the ES-30 will be able to reach both Kirkwall on Orkney and Sumburgh on Shetland from both Inverness and Aberdeen Airports.
  • Sumburgh would need an extended range ES-30.
  • Flights would be a few miles shorter from Inverness than from Aberdeen.
  • Kirkwall and Sumburgh is only 85 miles, so there may be possibilities for serving both Orkney and Shetland with one flight.
  • Extended range ES-30s might be able to do return trips to Kirkwall without a major charge at Kirkwall.
  • I once flew in my Cessna-340 to Kirkwall to see the original turbine, that was placed on the island. There is a lot of cold forbidding sea in the area. Perhaps the slightly shorter trip from Inverness, might be better for everybody’s nerves?
  • Just as the oil and gas industry did in the last century, I can see the offshore wind power industry generating a lot of passenger traffic to the Orkney and Shetland Islands.

Both Inverness and Aberdeen can be reached from Stansted by an ES-30 carrying a reduced passenger load.

Birmingham Airport

Birmingham Airport could become a major base for electric aircraft.

The 247 mile range of the extended range ES-30 would allow it to be able to reach the following places.

  • Belfast
  • Dublin
  • Newcastle
  • Newquay
  • Ronaldsway

Reduce the passenger load slightly to 25 passengers and the plane would be able to reach.

  • Edinburgh
  • Glasgow
  • Inverness
  • Kirkwall
  • Wick

But Birmingham Airport is only 65 minutes from Euston and will in the future be served by High Speed Two, in under an hour.

The airport also has a large catchment area of its own, who might be tempted to choose flying zero-carbon.

Spokes From Speke

In the 1980s, I went to a presentation from Royal Mail in Ipswich about guaranteed next day delivery of parcels. It was important to me, as I was writing software that needed to get from Ipswich, where it was created to London, where it would be tested and installed on customers machines. We also needed to get copies to our customers in Edinburgh and Aberdeen.

The Royal Mail’s latest concept of Spokes From Speke was described.

  • All urgent parcels and First Class mail would be collected from the local sorting office and taken to the local airport, which in our case would probably have been Stansted.
  • These consignments would then be flown to Speke Airport as Liverpool Airport was known in those days at around midnight.
  • They would then be sorted and reloaded onto other planes to complete their journey.
  • The planes would then return home and the parcels and mail would be delivered by truck to the local sorting office.

Aircraft used included Short Skyvans and piston-engined twins. Some we’re the quietest of aircraft.

I have heard or read somewhere that in some airports, there were complaints about noisy aircraft flying in and out in the middle of the night.

Now fifty years on companies are looking to speed up deliveries.

  • In the UK, companies are experimenting with 100 mph overnight parcels trains.
  • This article on Railway Gazette is entitled Varamis Rail Launches Regular Express Light Freight Service.
  • Eversholt Rail are putting money behind converting redundant electric multiple units into parcel trains.

But DHL in the USA are going another way and have ordered twelve Alice aircraft from Eviation.

It looks like the cargo Alice could have a useful load of just over a tonne and a range of around 290 miles.

I can envisage flights of near-silent silent Alices sneaking into and out of airports in the middle of the night to deliver and collect urgent parcels.

Techniques like Spokes From Speke will come again, but this time with electric aircraft.

How Would The ES-30 Compare With An Eviation Alice?

The Wikipedia entry for the Eviation Alice gives these figures.

  • Passengers – 9
  • Maximum Speed – 300 mph
  • Range – 290 miles
  • Take-off distance – 840 metres
  • Landing distance – 620 metres

Note.

  1. These are figures that most pilots would expect from an aircraft of this size.
  2. My Cessna 340 was about the same and about eight percent slower.
  3. It also had a much longer range.

If you look at my list of flights, these will not be possible.

  • Birmingham – Inverness – 363 miles
  • Birmingham – Kirkwall – 451 miles
  • Birmingham – Schipol – 402 miles
  • Bimingham – Sumburgh – 513 miles
    Birmingham – Wick – 418 miles
  • Edinburgh – Schipol – 473 miles
  • Gatwick – Edinburgh – 356 miles
  • Gatwick – Schipol – 374 miles
  • Glasgow – Sumburgh – 300 miles
  • Humberside – Schipol – 333 miles
  • Leeds – Schipol – 386 miles
  • Manchester – Schipol  413 miles
  • Newcastle – Newquay – 346 miles
  • Newcastle – Schipol – 395 miles
  • Newquay – Orly – 351 miles
  • Stansted – Wick – 472 miles
  • Sumburgh – Bergen – 226 miles
  • Sumburgh – Kirkwall –  85 miles

Note.

  1. Most routes that are too long are to Schipol or Scotland.
  2. Anglesey appears to have Ireland extremely well covered.
  3. Birmingham, Glasgow and Liverpool keep their Irish routes.
  4. Newquay is still a hub, that would promote tourism in Cornwall and only loses the Orly connection, although it keeps the flight to Heathrow.
  5. Ronaldsway still looks to be a possible zero-carbon airport.

I would suggest that a range of 290 miles, is an ideal one for an electric aircraft in the UK, as it can handle a large number of routes.

These are routes that I feel would attract a large number of passengers.

  • Anglesey – Belfast – 109 miles
  • Anglesey – Belfast City – 109 miles
  • Anglesey – Derry – 163 miles
  • Anglesey – Dublin – 71 miles
  • Glasgow – Belfast – 106 miles
  • Glasgow – Belfast City – 103 miles
  • Glasgow – Derry – 121 miles
  • Heathrow – Newquay – 212 miles
  • Inverness – Kirkwall – 106 miles
  • Inverness – Sumburgh – 190 miles
  • Liverpool – Belfast – 153 miles
  • Liverpool – Belfast City – 151 miles
  • Liverpool – Dublin – 140 miles
  • Liverpool – Norwich – 180 miles
  • Liverpool – Ronaldsway – 89 miles
  • London City – Humberside – 145 miles
  • London City – Manchester – 161 miles
  • Newcastle – Cardiff – 230 miles
  • Newcastle – Belfast City – 168 miles
  • Newquay – Brest – 140 miles
  • Newquay – Cardiff  98 miles
  • Newquay – Cork – 180 miles
  • Newquay – Deauville – 241 miles
  • Newquay – Scillies – 68 miles
  • Newquay – Waterford – 150 miles
  • Norwich – Schipol – 277 miles
  • Ronaldsway – Belfast City – 62 miles
  • Ronaldsway – Dublin – 80 miles
  • Ronaldsway – Glasgow – 123 miles
  • Southend – Schipol – 180 miles
  • Sumburgh – Kirkwall –  85 miles

Alice may not be big enough for some routes.

But it will be a wonderful route-proving aircraft for the larger ES-30 and other zero-carbon aircraft.

Conclusion

There will be a lot of uses for battery-electric aircraft in the UK.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

May 12, 2023 Posted by | Transport/Travel | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments

Mersey Tidal Project And Where It Is Up To Now

The title of this post, is the same as that of this article on the Liverpool Echo.

This is the sub-heading.

With a major agreement on the project reached this week, we take a look at what it all means.

There is a section, which is called So What Is A Mersey Tidal Project?, where this is said.

The idea is to build a huge damn structure in the River Mersey with turbines that can harness energy from the tides of the river and convert it into clean power. The city region combined authority is hopeful that this could power up to 1 million homes and create thousands of local jobs

The city region has one of the country’s largest tidal ranges so it is seen as a perfect opportunity to explore a tidal project here. It is hoped such a project could generate a ‘plentiful, reliable supply of clean, green energy for generations to come.

In the 1970s, I did a small project management consultancy at Frederick Snow and Partners in London. They showed me their ambitious plans for a Severn Barrage, which was a tidal scheme, that would have created a tenth of our electricity and would have cost around a billion pounds.

But Harold Wilson, who was Prime Minister at the time, felt that the money would be better spent on building massive coal-fired power stations, rather than building a clean power station, that would last centuries.

A second section is called What Happened This Week?, where this is said.

This week the Liverpool City Region signed an agreement with the company behind the current world’s current largest tidal project with a view to learning lessons.

The Sihwa Lake tidal range power plant, which is operated by Korea Water Resources Corporation, generates 552GWh of clean, green energy every year, replacing the equivalent of 862,000 barrels of oil a year.

Jeong Kyeong Yun, Vice President of Korea Water Resources Corporation, known as K-water, was in Liverpool this week to sign an historic Memorandum of Agreement with Mayor Rotheram. It is hoped the agreement will pave the way for close co-operation between the two tidal power projects, through reciprocal visits and information sharing.

Note.

  1. The Liverpool Echo is still making spelling mistakes, like damn instead of dam. In the 1960s, Fritz Spiegl used to give us all pleasure by writing about them.
  2. 552 GWh would keep the UK powered up for nearly a month.
  3. The Sihwa Lake Tidal Power Station has a comprehensive Wikipedia entry.
  4. The Sihwa dam has a road over the top.
  5. Unlike Frederick Snow’s scheme for the Severn, Sihwa only generates power, on the incoming tide. But it does generate 254 MW.

As ever, Liverpool is thinking big and getting the experience from those, who know what they are doing.

This last paragraph, gives the thoughts of the Mayor.

Mayor Rotheram said that with the right support, he hopes the project could be generating clean, renewable power by the end of this decade.

I would go along with that.

The Mersey Tidal Project And The Mersey Gateway Bridge

Frederick Snow’s plans for the Severn could have incorporated a new road and rail crossing of the estuary.

This Google Map shows the the Sihwa Lake Tidal power station.

The road over the dam is clearly visible.

I took these pictures of the Mersey Estuary as I came back from Liverpool on Tuesday.

This Google Map shows the Mersey Estuary.

Note.

  1. The River Mersey flowing from the North-East corner of the map to the South-West corner.
  2. On the South Bank of the Mersey, there is the deep-water channel of the Manchester Ship Canal.
  3. The bridge in the North-East corner of the map is the Mersey Gateway Bridge.
  4. Then there is the pair of bridges at Runcorn; the Silver Jubilee Bridge and the Runcorn Railway Bridge.

I am fairly sure, that the Mersey Tidal Project would be built downstream of the pair of bridges at Runcorn.

This Google Map shows the Mersey Estuary from the Runcorn Bridges to the mouth of the Manchester Ship Canal.

Note.

  1. The Mersey Gateway Bridge and the two Runcorn bridges are in the North-East corner.
  2. The route of the Manchester Ship Canal is clearly visible.
  3. Liverpool John Lennon Airport is on the North Bank of the Mersey.
  4. The M56 and M53 Motorways run East-West across the map to the South of the River.

This map leads me to the conclusion, that a tidal barrage with a road on top could link Liverpool to the M56.

I have some thoughts.

Rail Access To Liverpool

There is an electrified railway between Liverpool and Ellesmere Port.

  • The railway can be picked out running across the bottom of the map.
  • In Liverpool’s Vision For Rail, I talked about Liverpool City Region’s plan to expand this service to Helsby, Frodsham and Runcorn East.
  • Helsby and Frodsham are shown on the map.

I wouldn’t be surprised to see a new Park-and-Ride station, where the M56 and the railway cross.

Ship Access To Manchester And Other Ports

Barrages usually have to provide access for ships to pass through to any ports behind the barrage.

But the Mersey Tidal Project already has that access. – It was built in the 1893 and is called the Manchester Ship Canal.

There is probably strong protection between the Mersey and the Canal between the mouth of the Canal and Runcorn, which may impact positively on the costs of the barrage.

The Simple Barrage

Sihwa Lake Tidal power station is a simple barrage with a bridge over the power station in the middle.

This Google Map shows the location of the power station.

Note.

  1. Seoul is in the North-East corner of the map.
  2. The Sihwa Lake Tidal power station is marked by the red arrow.

This Google Map shows a close-up of the power station.

Note.

  1. The ten turbines appear to be in the gap.
  2. There appears to be a road on top of the barrage.
  3. The area to the West of the power station is marked as a rest area.
  4. A Moon Observatory is marked.
  5. It has bus stops, showing that it is served by the 123 and 123-1 buses.

It is an impressive structure.

I’m sure that this type of barrage would work over the Mersey.

  • A road could be built on top.
  • It may only be able to generate electricity,from an incoming tide, like Sihwa.
  • It could incorporate a rest area.

I do suspect though Liverpudlians would add a few unique touches of their own. Perhaps some liver birds or superlambananas.

The Frederick Snow Solution

The Severn is a wide river and he proposed that there would be a dam across the river, with a spine running East along the middle of the river.

  • The spine would divide the river into two lakes.
  • On the incoming tide, sluices would open and allow water to flow into the Northern or high lake from the Mersey estuary.
  • On the outgoing tide, sluices would open and allow water to flow out of the Southern or low lake into the Mersey estuary.
  • Water would flow between the high and low lake through turbines to generate electricity.
  • I have assumed that the high lake is on the North side, but if the geography is more suitable, the high and low lakes could be reversed.

In the design for the Severn Barrage, an International airport would have been built on the spine.

But Liverpool already has a nearby International airport, so perhaps it could be much better to install a large electrolyser and hydrogen storage on the spine.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

February 10, 2023 Posted by | Energy, Hydrogen | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

High-Speed Low-Carbon Transport Between Great Britain And Ireland

Consider.

  • According to Statista, there were 13,160,000 passengers between the United Kingdom and the Irish Republic in 2019.
  • In 2019, Dublin Airport handled 32,907,673 passengers.
  • The six busiest routes from Dublin were Heathrow, Stansted, Amsterdam, Manchester, Birmingham and Stansted.
  • In 2018, Belfast International Airport handled 6,269,025 passengers.
  • The four busiest routes from Belfast International Airport were Stansted, Gatwick. Liverpool and Manchester, with the busiest route to Europe to Alicante.
  • In 2018, Belfast City Airport handled 2,445,529 passengers.
  • The four busiest routes from Belfast City Airport were Heathrow, Manchester, Birmingham and London City.

Note.

  1. The busiest routes at each airport are shown in descending order.
  2. There is a lot of air passengers between the two islands.
  3. Much of the traffic is geared towards London’s four main airports.
  4. Manchester and Liverpool get their fair share.

Decarbonisation of the air routes between the two islands will not be a trivial operation.

But technology is on the side of decarbonisation.

Class 805 Trains

Avanti West Coast have ordered thirteen bi-mode Class 805 trains, which will replace the diesel Class 221 trains currently working between London Euston and Holyhead.

  • They will run at 125 mph between Euston and Crewe using electric power.
  • If full in-cab digital signalling were to be installed on the electrified portion of the route, they may be able to run at 140 mph in places under the wires.
  • They will use diesel power on the North Wales Coast Line to reach Holyhead.
  • According to an article in Modern Railways, the Class 805 trains could be fitted with batteries.

I wouldn’t be surprised that when they are delivered, they are a version of the Hitachi’s Intercity Tri-Mode  Battery Train, the specification of which is shown in this Hitachi infographic.

Note.

  1. I suspect that the batteries will be used to handle regenerative braking on lines without electrification, which will save diesel fuel and carbon emissions.
  2. The trains accelerate faster, than those they replace.
  3. The claimed fuel and carbon saving is twenty percent.

It is intended that these trains will be introduced next year.

I believe that, these trains will speed up services between London Euston and Holyhead.

  • Currently, services take just over three-and-a-half hours.
  • There should be time savings on the electrification between London Euston and Crewe.
  • The operating speed on the North Wales Coast Line is 90 mph. This might be increased in sections.
  • Some extra electrification could be added, between say Crewe and Chester and possibly through Llandudno Junction.
  • I estimate that on the full journey, the trains could reduce emissions by up to sixty percent compared to the current diesel trains.

I think that a time of three hours could be achievable with the Class 805 trains.

New trains and a three hour journey time should attract more passengers to the route.

Holyhead

In Holyhead Hydrogen Hub Planned For Wales, I wrote about how the Port of Holyhead was becoming a hydrogen hub, in common with several other ports around the UK including Felixstowe, Harwich, Liverpool and Portsmouth.

Holyhead and the others could host zero-carbon hydrogen-powered ferries.

But this extract from the Wikipedia hints at work needed to be done to create a fast interchange  between trains and ferries.

There is access to the port via a building shared with Holyhead railway station, which is served by the North Wales Coast Line to Chester and London Euston. The walk between trains and ferry check in is less than two minutes, but longer from the remote platform 1, used by Avanti West Coast services.

This Google Map shows the Port of Holyhead.

I think there is a lot of potential to create an excellent interchange.

HSC Francisco

I am using the high-speed craft Francisco as an example of the way these ships are progressing.

  • Power comes from two gas-turbine engines, that run on liquified natural gas.
  • It can carry 1024 passengers and 150 cars.
  • It has a top speed of 58 knots or 67 mph. Not bad for a ship with a tonnage of over 7000.

This ship is in service between Buenos Aires and Montevideo.

Note.

  1. A craft like this could be designed to run on zero-carbon  liquid hydrogen or liquid ammonia.
  2. A high speed craft already runs between Dublin and Holyhead taking one hour and forty-nine minutes for the sixty-seven miles.

Other routes for a specially designed high speed craft might be.

  • Barrow and Belfast – 113 miles
  • Heysham and Belfast – 127 miles
  • Holyhead and Belfast – 103 miles
  • Liverpool and Belfast – 145 miles
  • Stranraer and Larne – 31 miles

Belfast looks a bit far from England, but Holyhead and Belfast could be a possibility.

London And Dublin Via Holyhead

I believe this route is definitely a possibility.

  • In a few years, with a few improvements on the route, I suspect that London Euston and Holyhead could be fairly close to three hours.
  • With faster bi-mode trains, Manchester Airport and Holyhead would be under three hours.
  • I would estimate, that a high speed craft built for the route could be under two hours between Holyhead and Dublin.

It certainly looks like London Euston and Dublin and Manchester Airport and Dublin would be under five hours.

In A Glimpse Of 2035, I imagined what it would be like to be on the first train between London and Dublin via the proposed fixed link between Scotland and Northern Ireland.

  • I felt that five-and-a-half hours was achievable for that journey.
  • The journey would have used High Speed Two to Wigan North Western.
  • I also stated that with improvements, London and Belfast could be three hours and Dublin would be an hour more.

So five hours between London Euston and Dublin using current technology without massive improvements and new lines could be small change well spent.

London And Belfast Via Holyhead

At 103 miles the ferry leg may be too long for even the fastest of the high speed craft, but if say the craft could do Holyhead and Belfast in two-and-a-half hours, it might just be a viable route.

  • It might also be possible to run the ferries to a harbour like Warrenpoint, which would be eighty-six miles.
  • An estimate based on the current high speed craft to Dublin, indicates a time of around two hours and twenty minutes.

It could be viable, if there was a fast connection between Warrenpoint and Belfast.

Conclusion

Once the new trains are running between London Euston and Holyhead, I would expect that an Irish entrepreneur will be looking to develop a fast train and ferry service between England and Wales, and the island of Ireland.

It could be sold, as the Greenest Way To Ireland.

Class 807 Trains

Avanti West Coast have ordered ten electric Class 807 trains, which will replace some of the diesel Class 221 trains.

  • They will run at 125 mph between Euston and Liverpool on the fully-electrified route.
  • If full in-cab digital signalling were to be installed on the route, they may be able to run at 140 mph in places.
  • These trains appear to be the first of the second generation of Hitachi trains and they seem to be built for speed and a sparking performance,
  • These trains will run at a frequency of two trains per hour (tph) between London and Liverpool Lime Street.
  • Alternate trains will stop at Liverpool South Parkway station.

In Will Avanti West Coast’s New Trains Be Able To Achieve London Euston and Liverpool Lime Street In Two Hours?, I came to the conclusion, that a two-hour journey time was possible, when the new Class 807 trains have entered service.

London And Belfast Via Liverpool And A Ferry

Consider.

  • An hour on the train to and from London will be saved compared to Holyhead.
  • The ferry terminal is in Birkenhead on the other side of the Mersey and change between Lime Street station and the ferry could take much longer than at Holyhead.
  • Birkenhead and Belfast is twice the distance of Holyhead and Dublin, so even a high speed craft would take three hours.

This Google Map shows the Ferry Terminal and the Birkenhead waterfront.

Note.

  1. The Ferry Terminal is indicated by the red arrow at the top of the map.
  2. There are rows of trucks waiting for the ferries.
  3. In the South East corner of the map, the terminal of the Mersey Ferry sticks out into the River
  4. Hamilton Square station is in-line with the Mersey Ferry at the bottom of the map and indicated with the usual red symbol.
  5. There is a courtesy bus from Hamilton Square station to the Ferry Terminal for Ireland.

There is a fourteen tph service between Hamilton Square and Liverpool Lime Street station.

This route may be possible, but the interchange could be slow and the ferry leg is challenging.

I don’t think the route would be viable unless a much faster ferry is developed. Does the military have some high speed craft under development?

Conclusion

London and Belfast via Liverpool and a ferry is probably a trip for enthusiasts or those needing to spend a day in Liverpool en route.

Other Ferry Routes

There are other ferry routes.

Heysham And Barrow-in-Furness

,These two ports might be possible, but neither has a good rail connection to London and the South of England.

They are both rail connected, but not to the standard of the connections at Holyhead and Liverpool.

Cairnryan

The Cairnryan route could probably be improved to be an excellent low-carbon route to Glasgow and Central Scotland.

Low-Carbon Flight Between The Islands Of Great Britain And Ireland

I think we’ll gradually see a progression to zero-carbon flight over the next few years.

Sustainable Aviation Fuel

Obviously zero-carbon would be better, but until zero-carbon aircraft are developed, there is always sustainable aviation fuel.

This can be produced from various carbon sources like biowaste or even household rubbish and disposable nappies.

British Airways are involved in a project called Altalto.

  • Altalto are building a plant at Immingham to turn household rubbish into sustainable aviation fuel.
  • This fuel can be used in jet airliners with very little modification of the aircraft.

I wrote about Altalto in Grant Shapps Announcement On Friday.

Smaller Low-Carbon Airliners

The first low- and zero-carbon airliners to be developed will be smaller with less range, than Boeing 737s and Airbus A 320s. These three are examples of four under development.

I feel that a nineteen seater aircraft with a range of 500 miles will be the first specially designed low- or zero-carbon airliner to be developed.

I believe these aircraft will offer advantages.

  • Some routes will only need refuelling at one end.
  • Lower noise and pollution.
  • Some will have the ability to work from short runways.
  • Some will be hybrid electric running on sustainable aviation fuel.

They may enable passenger services to some smaller airports.

Air Routes Between The Islands Of Great Britain And Ireland

These are distances from Belfast City Airport.

  • Aberdeen – 228 miles
  • Amsterdam – 557 miles
  • Birmingham – 226 miles
  • Blackpool – 128 miles
  • Cardiff – 246 miles
  • Edinburgh – 135 miles
  • Gatwick – 337 miles
  • Glasgow – 103 miles
  • Heathrow – 312 miles
  • Jersey – 406 miles
  • Kirkwall – 320 miles
  • Leeds – 177 miles
  • Liverpool – 151 miles
  • London City – 326 miles
  • Manchester – 170 miles
  • Newcastle – 168 miles
  • Southampton – 315 miles
  • Southend – 344 miles
  • Stansted – 292 miles
  • Sumburgh – 401 miles

Note.

  1. Some airports on this list do not currently have flights from Belfast City Airport.
  2. I have included Amsterdam for comparison.
  3. Distances to Belfast International Airport, which is a few miles to the West of Belfast City Airport are within a few miles of these distances.

It would appear that much of Great Britain is within 500 miles of Belfast City Airport.

These are distances from Dublin Airport.

  • Aberdeen – 305 miles
  • Amsterdam – 465 miles
  • Birmingham – 199 miles
  • Blackpool – 133 miles
  • Cardiff – 185 miles
  • Edinburgh – 208 miles
  • Gatwick – 300 miles
  • Heathrow – 278 miles
  • Jersey – 339 miles
  • Kirkwall – 402 miles
  • Leeds – 190 miles
  • Liverpool – 140 miles
  • London City – 296 miles
  • Manchester – 163 miles
  • Newcastle – 214 miles
  • Southampton – 268 miles
  • Southend – 319 miles
  • Stansted – 315 miles
  • Sumburgh – 483 miles

Note.

  1. Some airports on this list do not currently have flights from Dublin Airport.
  2. I have included Amsterdam for comparison.

It would appear that much of Great Britain is within 500 miles of Dublin Airport.

I will add a few long routes, that someone  might want to fly.

  • Cork and Aberdeen – 447 miles
  • Derry and Manston – 435 miles
  • Manston and Glasgow – 392 miles
  • Newquay and Aberdeen – 480 miles
  • Norwich and Stornaway – 486 miles.

I doubt there are many possible air services in the UK and Ireland that are longer than 500 miles.

I have a few general thoughts about low- and zero-carbon air services in and around the islands of Great Britain and Ireland.

  • The likely five hundred mile range of the first generation of low- and zero-carbon airliners fits the size of the these islands well.
  • These aircraft seem to have a cruising speed of between 200 and 250 mph, so flight times will not be unduly long.
  • Airports would need to have extra facilities to refuel or recharge these airliners.
  • Because of their size, there will need to be more flights on busy routes.
  • Routes which are less heavily used may well be developed, as low- or zero-carbon could be good for marketing the route.

I suspect they could be ideal for the development of new routes and even new eco-friendly airports.

Conclusion

I have come to the conclusion, that smaller low- or zero-carbon are a good fit for the islands of Great Britain and Ireland.

But then Flybe and Loganair have shown that you can make money flying smaller planes around these islands with the right planes, airports, strategy and management.

Hydrogen-Powered Planes From Airbus

Hydrogen-powered zero-carbon aircraft could be the future and Airbus have put down a marker as to the way they are thinking.

Airbus have proposed three different ZEROe designs, which are shown in this infographic.

The turboprop and the turbofan will be the type of designs, that could be used around Great Britain and Ireland.

The ZEROe Turboprop

This is Airbus’s summary of the design for the ZEROe Turboprop.

Two hybrid hydrogen turboprop engines, which drive the six bladed propellers, provide thrust. The liquid hydrogen storage and distribution system is located behind the rear pressure bulkhead.

This screen capture taken from the video, shows the plane.

It certainly is a layout that has been used successfully, by many conventionally-powered aircraft in the past. The De Havilland Canada Dash 8 and ATR 72 are still in production.

I don’t think the turboprop engines, that run on hydrogen will be a problem.

If you look at the Lockheed-Martin C 130J Super Hercules, you will see it is powered by four Rolls-Royce AE 2100D3 turboprop engines, that drive 6-bladed Dowty R391 composite constant-speed fully-feathering reversible-pitch propellers.

These Rolls-Royce engines are a development of an Allison design, but they also form the heart of Rolls-Royce’s 2.5 MW Generator, that I wrote about in Our Sustainability Journey. The generator was developed for use in Airbus’s electric flight research program.

I wouldn’t be surprised to find the following.

  • , The propulsion system for this aircraft is under test with hydrogen at Derby and Toulouse.
  • Dowty are testing propellers suitable for the aircraft.
  • Serious research is ongoing to store enough liquid hydrogen in a small tank that fits the design.

Why develop something new, when Rolls-Royce, Dowty and Lockheed have done all the basic design and testing?

This screen capture taken from the video, shows the front view of the plane.

From clues in the picture, I estimate that the fuselage diameter is around four metres. Which is not surprising, as the Airbus A320 has a height of 4.14 metres and a with of 3.95 metres. But it’s certainly larger than the fuselage of an ATR-72.

So is the ZEROe Turboprop based on a shortened Airbus A 320 fuselage?

  • The ATR 72 has a capacity of 70 passengers.
  • The ZEROe Turboprop has a capacity of less than a hundred passengers.
  • An Airbus A320 has six-abreast seating.
  • Could the ZEROe Turboprop have sixteen rows of seats, as there are sixteen windows in front of the wing?
  • With the seat pitch of an Airbus A 320, which is 81 centimetres, this means just under thirteen metres for the passengers.
  • There could be space for a sizeable hydrogen tank in the rear part of the fuselage.
  • The plane might even be able to use the latest A 320 cockpit.

It looks to me, that Airbus have designed a larger ATR 72 based on an A 320 fuselage.

I don’t feel there are any great technical challenges in building this aircraft.

  • The engines appear to be conventional and could even have been more-or-less fully developed.
  • The fuselage could be a development of an existing design.
  • The wings and tail-plane are not large and given the company’s experience with large composite structures, they shouldn’t be too challenging.
  • The hydrogen storage and distributing system will have to be designed, but as hydrogen is being used in increasing numbers of applications, I doubt the expertise will be difficult to find.
  • The avionics and other important systems could probably be borrowed from other Airbus products.

Given that the much larger and more complicated Airbus A380 was launched in 2000 and first flew in 2005, I think that a prototype of this aircraft could fly around the middle of this decade.

It may seem small at less than a hundred seats, but it does have a range of greater than a 1000 nautical miles or 1150 miles.

Consider.

  • It compares closely in passenger capacity, speed and range, with the De Havilland Canada Dash 8/400 and the ATR 72/600.
  • The ATR 72 is part-produced by Airbus.
  • The aircraft is forty percent slower than an Airbus A 320.
  • It looks like it could be designed to have a Short-Takeoff-And Landing (STOL) capability.

I can see the aircraft replacing Dash 8s, ATR 72s and similar aircraft all over the world. There are between 2000 and 3000 operational airliners in this segment.

The ZEROe Turbofan

This is Airbus’s summary of the design.

Two hybrid hydrogen turbofan engines provide thrust. The liquid hydrogen storage and distribution system is located behind the rear pressure bulkhead.

This screen capture taken from the video, shows the plane.

ZEROeTurbofan

This screen capture taken from the video, shows the front view of the plane.

The aircraft doesn’t look very different different to an Airbus A320 and appears to be fairly conventional. It does appear to have the characteristic tall winglets of the A 320 neo.

I don’t think the turbofan engines, that run on hydrogen will be a problem.

These could be standard turbofan engines modified to run on hydrogen, fuelled from a liquid hydrogen tank behind the rear pressure bulkhead of the fuselage.

If you want to learn more about gas turbine engines and hydrogen, read this article on the General Electric web site, which is entitled The Hydrogen Generation: These Gas Turbines Can Run On The Most Abundant Element In the Universe,

These are my thoughts of the marketing objectives of the ZEROe Turbofan.

  • The cruising speed and the number of passengers are surprisingly close, so has this aircraft been designed as an A 320 or Boeing 737 replacement?
  •  I suspect too, that it has been designed to be used at any airport, that could handle an Airbus A 320 or Boeing 737.
  • It would be able to fly point-to-point flights between most pairs of European or North American cities.

It would certainly fit the zero-carbon shorter range airliner market!

In fact it would more than fit the market, it would define it!

I very much believe that Airbus’s proposed zero-carbon hydrogen-powered designs and others like them will start to define aviation on routes of up to perhaps 3000 miles, from perhaps 2035.

  • The A 320 neo was launched in December 2010 and entered service in January 2016.  That was just five years and a month.
  • I suspect that a lot of components like the fuselage sections, cockpit, avionics, wings, landing gear, tailplane and cabin interior could be the same in a A 320 neo and a ZEROe Turbofan.
  • Flying surfaces and aerodynamics could be very similar in an A 320 neo and a ZEROe Turbofan
  • There could even be commonality between the ZEROe Turboprop and the ZEROe Turbofan, with respect to fuselage sections, cockpit, avionics and cabin interior.

There also must be the possibility, that if a ZEROe Turbofan is a hydrogen-powered A 320 neo, that this would enable the certification process to be simplified.

It might even be possible to remanufacture a A 320 neo into a ZEROe Turbofan. This would surely open up all sorts of marketing strategies.

My project management, flying and engineering knowledge says that if they launched the ZEROe Turbofan this year, it could be in service by the end of the decade on selected routes.

Conclusion

Both the ZEROe Turboprop and ZEROe Turbofan are genuine zero-carbon aircraft, which fit into two well-defined market segments.

I believe that these two aircraft and others like them from perhaps Boeing and Bombardier could be the future of aviation between say 500 and 3000 miles.

With the exception of the provision of hydrogen refuelling at airports, there will be no need for any airport infrastructure.

I also wouldn’t be surprised that the thinking Airbus appear to have applied to creating the ZEROe Turbofan from the successful A 320 neo, could be applied to perhaps create a hydrogen-powered A 350.

I feel that Airbus haven’t fulling disclosed their thinking.  But then no company would, when it reinvents itself.

T also think that short-haul air routes will increasing come under pressure.

The green lobby  would like airlines to decarbonise.

Governments will legislate that airlines must decarbonise.

The rail industry will increasingly look to attract customers away from the airlines, by providing more competitive times and emphasising their green credentials.

Aircraft manufacturers will come under pressure to deliver zero-carbon airliners as soon as they can.

I wouldn’t be surprised to see a prototype ZEROe Turbofan or Boeing’s equivalent fly as early as 2024.

Short Term Solutions

As I said earlier, one solution is to use existing aircraft with Sustainable Aviation Fuel.

But many believe this is greenwash and rather a cop out.

So we must do better!

I don’t believe that the smaller zero- and low-carbon aircraft with a range of up to 500 miles and a capacity of around 19 seats, will be able to handle all the passengers needing to fly between and around the islands of Great Britain and Ireland.

  • A Boeing 737 or Airbus A 320 has a capacity of around two hundred passengers, which would require ten times the number of flights, aircraft and pilots.
  • Airports would need expansion on the airside and the terminals to handle the extra planes.
  • Air Traffic Control would need to be expanded to handle the extra planes.

But the smaller planes would be ideal for the thinner secondary routes.

So I tend to think, that the greens will have to lump it, as Sustainable Aviation Fuel will increasingly be the only viable solution.

This will increase the need for Airbus or Boeing to develop a viable A 320 or 737-sized aircraft as soon as possible.

Air Bridges

I said earlier, that I believe using ferries between Ireland and Holyhead and new bi-mode Class 805 trains between London Euston and Holyhead could be a competitor to airlines.

  • The ferries would be high speed craft capable of Holyhead and Ireland in around 90-100 minutes.
  • The ferries would be zero-carbon.
  • The trains would have a sixty percent reduction in carbon emissions compared to current trains on the route.

If we can skim across the water in a zero-carbon high speed craft, are there any reasons we can’t cross the water in a low- or zero-carbon aircraft.

In the next few sub-sections, I’ll suggest a few air bridges.

Glasgow

Glasgow Airport could be an ideal airport for a  low or zero-carbon air bridge to Northern Ireland.

  • A rail link could eventually be built.
  • There is a reasonable amount of traffic.
  • The distance to Belfast City Airport is only 103 miles.

As the airport serves islands and other places that could be ideal low- and zero-carbon routes, I could see Glasgow becoming a hub for battery and hydrogen-powered aircraft.

Heathrow

Heathrow must prepare itself for an uncertain future.

It will be some years before a third runway is both needed and will have been constructed.

I believe the following will happen.

  • Smaller up to nineteen seat low- or zero-carbon airliners will be in service by 2025.
  • From around 2024, Heathrow will get requests to refuel or charge low- or zero-carbon airliners.
  • Low- or-zero- carbon A 320-size airliners will be in service by 2030.
  • Most ground equipment at Heathrow like tugs and fuel bowsers will be zero-carbon.

If I were Boris or Prime Minister, I would say that Heathrow could have its third runway with the following conditions.

  • All aircraft using the third runway must be zero-carbon
  • All air-side vehicles must be zero-carbon.
  • All vehicles bringing passengers on the last mile to the airport must be zero-carbon.
  • All aircraft using the airport that are not zero-carbon must use sustainable aviation fuel.

I suspect that the conditions would be met by a large margin.

When an airport knows it is effectively going to be closed, it will make sure it survives.

Liverpool

Liverpool Airport could be an ideal airport for a  low or zero-carbon air bridge to the island of Ireland.

  • There is a nearby Liverpool South Parkway station, with frequent services to both the local area and places further away.
  • An improved London train service starts in 2022 or 2023.
  • There would need to be a people mover between the station and the airport.
  • The airport can probably have piped hydrogen from across the Mersey.
  • There is already significant traffic to and from the island of Ireland.
  • Flight times Between Liverpool and Dublin and Belfast would be under an hour.

I also feel that Liverpool could develop lots of other low- and zero-carbon routes to perhaps Cardiff, Edinburgh, Glasgow, Norwich, Southampton and the Isle of Man.

I could even see Liverpool having a Turn-Up-And-Go shuttle service to Dublin and Belfast, with small zero-carbon planes running every fifteen minutes or so.

Manston

I wouldn’t rule out Manston as a low- and zero-carbon airport for flights to the Benelux countries and Northern France and parts of Germany.

These are a few distances from Manston Airport.

  • Amsterdam – 160 miles
  • Brussels – 134 miles
  • Cologne – 253 miles
  • Dusseldorf – 234 miles
  • Frankfurt – 328 miles
  • Geneva – 414 miles
  • Hamburg – 396 miles
  • Le Touquet – 59 miles
  • Lille – 49 miles
  • Luxembourg – 243 miles
  • Ostend – 66 miles
  • Strasbourg – 339 miles

Manston’s position on the tip of Kent gives it an advantage and I think low- and zero-carbon services could reach Cologne, Frankfurt, Geneva, Hamburg and Strasbourg.

The airport also has other advantages.

  • A big electrolyser to produce hydrogen is being built at Herne Bay.
  • The area is rich in wind and solar energy.
  • I suspect the airspace to the East of the airport isn’t very busy and short hops to the Continent could be easy to slot in.

There is a new station being built at Thanet Parkway, which is on the Ashford and Ramsgate Line, which has regular services to London, including some services on High Speed One.

This Google Map shows the location of the airport and the station.

Note.

  1. The runway of Manston Airport.
  2. The Ashford and Ramsgate Line running across the South-East corner of the map.
  3. The station could be built to the West of the village of Cliffsend, which is indicated by the red arrow.
  4. I’m sure, a people mover or a zero-carbon bus could be built to connect the station and the airport.

There would need to be improvements in the frequency of services to and from London, but I’m sure Manston Airport could become an ideal airport for low- and zero-carbon aircraft serving the near Continent.

Southampton

Southampton Airport could be the ideal design for an airport to serve an air bridge.

  • The Southampton Airport Parkway station is connected to the terminal.
  • The station has numerous rail services, including a fast service to and from London.
  • The airport is expanding and could make sure all works are compatible with a low- and zero-carbon future.

Southampton is not ideally placed for services to Ireland, but with low- and zero-carbon aircraft it could be ideal for running services to the Channel Islands and Western France.

Other Airports

I suspect other airports will go the low- and zero-carbon route.

Conclusion

I started this post, with the intention of writing about writing about low- and zero-carbon transport between the islands of Great Britain and Ireland.

But it has grown.

I have now come to the conclusion that there are several low- and zero-carbon routes that could be developed.

The most promising would appear to be.

  • London Euston and Belfast by new Class 805 train to Holyhead and then zero-carbon high speed ferry.
  • London Euston and Dublin by new Class 805 train to Holyhead and then zero-carbon high speed ferry.
  • Glasgow and Belfast by train to Cairnryan and then zero-carbon high speed ferry.
  • Point-to-point air routes using new small nineteen seat low- or zero-carbon airliners with a range of 500 miles.
  • London Euston and Belfast by new Class 807 train to Liverpool Airport and then smaller low- or zero-carbon airliner.
  • London Euston and Dublin by new Class 807 train to Liverpool Airport and then and then smaller low- or zero-carbon airliner.
  • Other air bridges will develop.

But I am fairly certain by the end of the decade, there will be A320-size airlines powered by hydrogen taking us to Ireland and Western Europe.

I believe that the survival and ultimate prospering of Airbus and Boeing depends on the development of a range of zero-carbon airliners.

For this reason alone, they will succeed.

April 22, 2021 Posted by | Hydrogen, Transport/Travel | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments